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Iraq
Violent clashes spreading as death toll hits 12
2008-03-25
By Aref Mohammed in Basra
THE death toll from clashes between Iraqi security forces and the Mehdi Army militia in Basra has risen to 12, and violence appears to be spreading to Baghdad and other cities.

Police and health workers said at least 12 people were killed in the fighting in districts of central and northern Basra where Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr's Mehdi Army has a strong presence.

"There are clashes in the streets. Bullets are coming from everywhere and we can hear the sound of rocket explosions. This has been going on since dawn," resident Jamil said.

Columns of black smoke rose above the city and explosions and machinegun fire could be heard. Reuters Television pictures showed masked gunmen firing mortars in the street, while others drove around in captured Iraqi army and police vehicles.

The Mehdi Army, which has thousands of fighters, has kept a relatively low profile since last August when Sadr called a ceasefire, one of the main factors behind the sharp reduction in sectarian violence in Iraq in recent months.

But the militia has chafed at the truce, saying US and Iraqi forces exploited it to carry out indiscriminate arrests.

In a statement read out by a senior aide on Tuesday, Sadr called on Iraqis to stage sit-ins all over Iraq and said he would declare a "civil revolt" if attacks by US and Iraqi security forces continued.

He also threatened a "third step", but said it was to early to announce what it would be.

Sadr's followers launched what they called "a civil disobedience campaign" in Baghdad on Monday, forcing store-owners to close in several districts.

Pro-Sadr students forced Mustansiriya University in Baghdad to close on Tuesday. Members of Sadr's movement said the protest would spread to other towns and cities from Wednesday.

Police sources said Sadr supporters seized control of five districts in the southern town of Kut on Tuesday after clashes between gunmen and police.

In Baghdad, US and Iraqi forces sealed off the Mehdi Army stronghold of Sadr City, a sprawling slum of 2 million people, after the militia ordered police and soldiers off the streets.

Police said fighting erupted in several Sadr City neighbourhoods between Mehdi Army fighters and the Badr Organisation, the armed wing of a rival Shiite faction.

Baghdad's Green Zone, the government and diplomatic compound, was hit by several salvoes of rockets during the day. US military spokesman Lieutenant-Colonel Steven Stover said they had been fired from Sadr City.

Police imposed curfews in the southern towns of Kut, Hilla and Samawa, capital of Muthanna province.

In Basra two ambulance drivers said they had transported eight bodies to Basra's Sadr Education hospital. A police major at al-Mawana hospital said four bodies were received.

"This operation will not come to an end in Basra without the law prevailing and being respected," Iraqi government spokesman Ali al-Dabbagh said.

But analysts said the government of Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, who was in Basra to oversee the operation, would struggle to overcome militias who were looking to keep hold of their share of Basra's oil wealth.

Sadrists and the Supreme Islamic Iraqi Council (SIIC), the two most powerful Shiite factions in Iraq, have been vying for control of Basra along with a smaller Shiite party, Fadhila, which controls key oil industry jobs in Basra.

Peter Harling, a Damascus-based analyst at the International Crisis Group think tank, said Sadr's followers were angry because they believed the US had chosen to support SIIC's Badr Organisation.

"The fact that Sadr called upon his followers to implement a civil disobedience campaign reflects the pressure building upon him. There is huge frustration among the group's rank and file."

Basra's oilfields hold 80 per cent of Iraq's oil wealth. Iraqi oil industry sources said the fields, which exported 1.54 million barrels of oil per day in February, were operating normally on Tuesday.

The British military said no British ground forces were involved in the operation, but warplanes from the US-led coalition were carrying out aerial surveillance.

Iraqi security forces took control of Basra from British forces in December.
Posted by:anonymous5089

#9  Taking out Sadr and Madhi is the next step. Though I would have expected the US and Iraqi gov to wait until Mosul is finished. Sadr may have sped up things with the Green Zone rocket attacks.
Posted by: ed   2008-03-25 19:26  

#8  In a statement read out by a senior aide on Tuesday, Sadr called on Iraqis to stage sit-ins all over Iraq and said he would declare a "civil revolt" if attacks by US and Iraqi security forces continued.

I guess Sadr himself couldn't very well have read the statement from his hideout in Tehran.
Posted by: Abu Uluque (aka Ebbang Uluque6305)   2008-03-25 19:12  

#7  I suspect this is the culmination of the surge and probably long ago anticipated by Petraeus. That is probably those that are "risk averse" in the Pentagon (and State and other places) are over in the corner, biting their lip.
Posted by: tipover   2008-03-25 18:52  

#6  1. Yes.
2. Yes.
3. Yes.
4. Yes.
5. No.
6. Yes.
7. Yes.
8. Yes.
Posted by: newc   2008-03-25 17:14  

#5  The British military said no British ground forces were involved in the operation..

who is shocked by this un-development?
Posted by: RD   2008-03-25 16:47  

#4  Beeb says 3 IA brigades involved, total of 15,000 men with tanks and artillery, the city is sealed off. Operation "knights charge" or something (trans from the Arabic)
Posted by: liberalhawk   2008-03-25 16:08  

#3  when Maliki (presumably in consultation with Petraeus (and Cheney?)

and over the objection of Fox Fallon overrulled by Gates and Bush?
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2008-03-25 15:58  

#2  LH,

thought you would finish with,

"tune in again next week,
same bat-time,
same bat-channel"
Posted by: mhw   2008-03-25 15:44  

#1  looks like US and Iraqi forces were steadily attriting Sadr with arrests of not-really-rogue militants, and Sadr was cooling to the govt, when Maliki (presumably in consultation with Petraeus (and Cheney?) decided on a preemptive strike on Basra, the city least under the iraqi govts control. With iraqi army forces commited in basra, Sadr is striking back in Baghdad, where US forces are coming into play.

points/questions

1. Looks like IA is taking the lead in Basra, a big technical test for the IA

2. If the IA keeps up the attack on Sadr in Basra, this is huge politically - showing Iraqi forces are fighting for the state against a shiite militia

3. Will this reconcile Maliki, now independent of Sadr, with SCII, and others who mistrusted Maliki

4. Will the friendly Sunni forces, so far working with the US but not with the Iraqi govt, gain new confidence that the Iraqi govt will also crack down on Shiites, and so be more supportive

5.what will the iranian response be?

6. What will the effect in the US be - pundits have mentioned many times that the improvements of the surge are dependent on Sadrs cooperation - if Sadr is defanged by force, this should sway a few of them towards the surge. OTOH the ordinary press and the public look more just to casualty counts and bleeding headlines, so it may look worse to them

7. If Sadr is true to form, he wont fight to the death. When its clear hes losing, he will try for another hudna. What might he offer that would make Maliki (if not Petraues) want to call off the dogs.

8. Are there enough troops - US plus reliable Iraqis - to take on Sadr while AQ is still alive in Mosul and Baquba
Posted by: liberalhawk   2008-03-25 15:16  

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