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Home Front: Culture Wars
How swiftly the narrative can change!
2008-04-24
Michael Novak, National Review

Just two days ago, most commentators were saying that there is no way Hillary can overcome ObamaÂ’s lead (both in delegates elected and in popular votes). By midnight of election night, with all the vote tallies in, suddenly the commentators were abuzz with the new question, Can she possibly do it, after all?

It always amazes me how swiftly the narrative can change. Seemingly in an instant, serious commentators reverse the direction of their analysis and change their tone of voice, while their excitement level shoots upwards. Monday, it was all: “No matter what happens in Pennsylvania, Obama has the election all locked up.” Wednesday morning, it is “What a great, gutsy victory it is for Hillary. Hillary is really a fighter. She won labor-union households, those over 40 years old, white men and white women, churchgoers, hunters—and most of these by high margins. She won Catholics by 70 percent. These are the groups a Democratic nominee must win against McCain in November.”

Some are even now working out the arithmetic to show that it is possible for her to win the popular vote by the last primary, June 6. Possible, but not likely.
As one of my favorite bloggers, Orrin Judd, is prone to say: "The conventional wisdom is always wrong."
Posted by:Mike

#1  Hang on the last big one is North Carolina. It looks like Obama. If so watch the how swiftly the narrative changes again!

Posted by: Bernardz   2008-04-24 09:20  

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