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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Pink Lines and Red Lines
2008-07-29
Back in June we observed several international events at the time that triggered some concern within the authors of this blog, essentially we observed a political time line unfolding that appears to be moving the United States towards a confrontation with Iran. At that time we picked June 23rd as the beginning of what we call a twelve week countdown, that was exactly 5 weeks ago today. Our twelve week metric is a diplomatic phase for the US and Iran to solve the nuclear issue, specifically we see it as the last major diplomatic push of Bush administration with Iran. Five weeks later we are growing more confident that our twelve week window was on target.

But that is also the point, there will be a lot of movement in the region. The period, which we are estimating to occur around September 15th, give or take a couple weeks, is essentially the last window for Israel to take military action during the Bush administration when excess US military forces will be in the region to adapt to any emerging challenge with Iran.

As we have noted in the past, in the Middle East this year Ramadan begins on Sunday, August 31st at sundown and will continue for 30 days until Monday, September 29th at sundown. It is worth noting there is a new moon on August 30th and September 29th. The Olympic Games end August 24th. If military action is going to happen, expect any pink lines established after that date to be a red line.

We believe there are seven weeks left for a diplomatic solution for the Iranian nuclear issue during the Bush administration, and after that point anything could happen.

read the link... its different...
Posted by:3dc

#2  Cogent analysis with little unnecessary verbiage.
Posted by: trailing wife    2008-07-29 11:07  

#1  FREEREPUBLIC Poster > believes NEW YORK JIHAD greeting cards evidencias supports his premise that a major 2010 Terror attack, likely Nukular?, may be in the works agz NYC at that time???
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2008-07-29 00:17  

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