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Home Front: Politix
No 'Mo' for B.O. - McCain leads in polls as Obama momentum fades
2008-08-04
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows the race for the White House is tied with Barack Obama and John McCain each attracting 44% of the vote. However, when "leaners" are included, itÂ’s McCain 47% and Obama 46%.

This is the first time McCain has enjoyed even a statistically insignificant advantage of any sort since Obama clinched the Democratic nomination on June 3. . . . A week ago today, Obama had a three-percentage point lead and the candidates were even among unaffiliated voters. Today, McCain leads 52% to 37% among unaffiliateds.
Posted by:Mike

#6  Also

Bradley effect - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Posted by: anonymous5089   2008-08-04 14:14  

#5  Further evidence that BHO jumped the shark with his recent "President of The World" tour abroad.

As Karl Rove said the other day, and I paraphrase, "the Gods make proud first those they intend to strike down."
Posted by: eltoroverde   2008-08-04 13:39  

#4  bigjim, this sort of analysis is exactly what several of my friends have been taking great comfort from for some time. It does seem significant that BO lacks the large polling lead normally enjoyed by Dem candidates, esp. in the summer. Couple that with the striking strength of McCain in places like Michigan, as well as among key demographics like older white women, and BO's prospects seem joyfully dim. I've always thought the GOP electoral vote edge was enhanced by the BO candidacy - it's just hard to imagine PA or OH or even WI or MI or IA going for someone like BO - and this just adds to that.

Task one: crush the ridiculous Dem candidate. Task two: knee-cap the GOP winner on a range of key issues. Strange election.
Posted by: Verlaine   2008-08-04 11:49  

#3  I'm trying to image what it must be like for some of the Dem delegates preparing to go off to Denver to annoint "The One". Some of them must realize that he's a loser. The more scrutiny he gets, the weaker he looks. Great times to be a Republican. I've got so much smugness, I could fill my hot tub with it -- to overflowing.
Posted by: Richard of Oregon   2008-08-04 11:45  

#2  Polls prior to the conventions don't mean much.
Posted by: Fred   2008-08-04 11:45  

#1  This is very strange. Donks usually enjoy a healthy lead in the polls before the election, whether they win or lose. If their crappy biased polls actually show McCain ahead by 1, imagine how far ahead he really is.
Posted by: bigjim-ky   2008-08-04 11:10  

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