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Home Front Economy
Oil prices close below $119 after inventory report
2008-08-07
NEW YORK (AP) -- Oil prices briefly dropped below $118 a barrel Wednesday -- $30 below their record high -- after a jump in U.S. crude and other fuel supplies fed beliefs that high energy prices are eating into demand.

Light, sweet crude for September delivery finished the session down 59 cents at $118.58 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was crude's lowest settlement price since May 2; prices earlier fell as low as $117.11, a $30, or 20 percent, drop from their trading high of $147.27, reached July 11. Some investors believe a 20 percent pullback signals the beginning of a bear market.

At the pump, falling crude kept weighing on prices. U.S. filling stations hungry for business ratcheted down the price for a gallon of regular on average by another penny overnight to $3.862, according to auto club AAA, Oil Price Information Service and Wright Express. Prices have now fallen more than 6 percent from all-time highs above $4 a gallon reached July 17.

Oil market traders are paying close attention to see if oil falls below $117, a key resistance level expected to trigger a rash of technical selling by computers programmed to dump oil contracts once prices fall below a certain threshold. "There's a line in the sand just below $117. If you close below that, it signals traders are giving up on the bull market in oil," said Tom Kloza, publisher and chief oil analyst of the Oil Price Information Service in Wall, N.J. "Subsequent rallies may take us higher, but the highs for the year have probably been put in."

Still, Kloza said a surprise event -- such as a flare-up of violence in the Middle East or a major hurricane slamming the U.S. Gulf coast, could send prices soaring again. Other analysts say oil remains in a long-term upward trend, noting that futures contracts years out still peg prices above $100 a barrel.

The U.S. Energy Department's Energy Information Administration said crude supplies rose by 1.7 million barrels to 296.9 million for the week ended Aug. 1, slightly more than the 1.2 million-barrel increase expected by analysts surveyed by energy research firm Platts. The EIA said inventories of distillate fuel, which include diesel and heating oil, jumped 2.8 million barrels to 133.3 million barrels, above the 2.3 million barrels expected by analysts.
Posted by:Steve White

#4  This country has no long term energy plan or energy policy, so we are sitting there responding to the markets, instead of making our own news by achieving petroleum independence from our suppliers who are also our enemies, i.e., ME plus Venezuela, plus corrupt POS states like Nigeria.
Posted by: Alaska Paul   2008-08-07 17:22  

#3  Now all we need is to close below $117 and hope it triggers a massive sell-off.
Posted by: bigjim-ky   2008-08-07 10:38  

#2  It's not good news because it's a demand contraction which probably signals lower consumer spending across the board going forward. Recession here we come.
Posted by: AzCat   2008-08-07 08:22  

#1  Believe it or not, this is not good news. Knowing the fickled nature of the American public as reflected through the politicians they keep electing they will take this to mean that there is now now need to increase upstream and downstream outputs while developing an alternative non-fossil fuel economy. I wager that in less than a year - hopefully before the elections - we are right back to nearing $200/bbl.
Posted by: Jack is Back!   2008-08-07 03:53  

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