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| Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia |
| Information Dissemination: Observing the Outbreak of War In Georgia |
| 2008-08-10 |
| Pentagon officials said late Friday that the Georgian government had officially requested assistance in airlifting home the approximately 2,000 Georgian troops now in Iraq. The request was under review, and standard procedures would indicate that the United States Government would honor the request, officials said. Last night the Russian Air Force reportedly devastated the Georgian Black Sea port of Poti. Local language (unverified) internet reports suggest both the Slava class cruiser Moskva and the Kara class cruiser Kerch are part of Russian naval group that deployed, and the Kilo class submarine Alrosa was reportedly not in port. The number of and types of other Russian naval vessels has not been reported. Speculation by some local sources suggests an amphibious operation may be in the works. Specifically there are some local internet reports of activity among the three Ropucha class LSTs. We want to reiterate that these reports are unverified, but note that because of where these unofficial internet reports are coming from, they may be credible. Several implications here. The use of air power in the Kodori Gorge in Abkhazia and if Amphibious forces are soon to put to sea, the implication is Russia may be looking to opening a second front. The movement of the Black Sea Fleet towards Georgia could be a tactical move to cut off supply to Georgia, and nothing says 'turn around' faster than a Kilo SSK guarding the port entrance. These types of major events give implication that Russia is moving towards a campaign of consolidation, rather than a peacekeeping action. The next few days will tell the story, but it looks like we may need to redraw some border lines in that region in the near future. While we are aware of US Navy activity in the Black Sea, we will let other news sources discuss specific forces in the region. It is enough to say the US Navy is there, with exactly the kind of capabilities one would want the US to have in a confusing, evolving war where one country may feel obligated to protect themselves from an attack by sea. Should Georgia open up with anti-ship missiles against Russian targets at sea, or if either side should engage in unrestricted war at sea in the eastern Black Sea, the US Navy does not have the forces in the region yet to protect or support unarmed commercial vessels. Our advice to commercial shipping is to run west, those waters to the east are not safe. |
| Posted by:3dc |
| #4 Lest we fergit, WOT > MACKINDER'S WAR = WAR FOR MACKINDER'S WORLD ISLAND BWTN OLD WORLD [Eurasia = Asia] + NEW WORLD [Americas] + WAR FOR ANTI-US VERSUS PRO-US GLOBALISM/OWG-NWO, among other. |
| Posted by: JosephMendiola 2008-08-10 20:37 |
| #3 "May need to redraw some border lines in that region in the near future" > again, Russia believes that AL-QAEDA + TALIBAN, etc. are US PROXIES, thus any Islamist Militant-Terr attempt and mil/terraction to destabilize RUSSIA + CENTRAL ASIA IS IN MOSCOW's = VLADVEDEV's EYES A WILFUL US ATTACK [an by extens Euros-NATO/Japan/USAllies]ON POST-COLD WAR RUSS BY US-CONTROLLED MILITANT-TERR GROUPS, espec as per any RUSS-PERCEIVED DESIRE BY THE US TO BREAKUP RUSSIA EVEN MORE. IMO this is what Russ cares about vv SOUTH OSSETIA, + ABKHAZIA, NAGORNO-KARABAKH, etc. notsomuch the local Muslims + Muslim-specif Nationalism. STAY ARMED - BUY THAT POPCORN AND ESPEC BUY THAT SURVIVAL GEAR! |
| Posted by: JosephMendiola 2008-08-10 20:32 |
| #2 Russian lang forces map troop level of 185'000 Air Force troops and 322'000 Ground troops, plus some more logistics and other the Black Sea fleet in the North Caucasus Military District. Battle Map |
| Posted by: 3dc 2008-08-10 16:07 |
| #1 Supposedly the Russians have already turned away a grain ship heading for Georgia. |
| Posted by: trailing wife 2008-08-10 11:29 |
