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-Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
Gustav kills 22; US Gulf Coast prepares
2008-08-28
Gustav swirled toward Cuba on Wednesday after triggering flooding and landslides that killed at least 22 people in the Caribbean. Its track pointed toward the U.S. Gulf coast, including Louisiana where Hurricane Katrina wreaked havoc three years ago.

Oil prices jumped above US$119 a barrel as workers began to evacuate from the offshore rigs responsible for a quarter of U.S. crude production and much of America's natural gas.

"We know it's going to head into the Gulf. After that, we're not sure where it's heading," said Rebecca Waddington, a meteorologist at the Miami-based National Hurricane Center. "For that reason, everyone in Gulf needs to be monitoring the storm. At that point, we're expecting it to be a Category 3 hurricane."

On Wednesday, Gustav was moving off of Haiti's southwestern peninsula into the waters between Cuba and Jamaica. Its tentative track pointed directly at the Cayman Islands, an offshore banking center where residents boarded up homes and stocked up on emergency supplies in preparation for a possible direct hit Friday.

Posted by:Fred

#13  I've never been good at Cassandra, so I think I'll wait. Granted, Gustav is likely to give Cincinnati a miss altogether, but even so, I refuse to panic. ;-)
Posted by: trailing wife    2008-08-28 19:51  

#12  At this point, it is JUST speculation. And given that spot oil prices were DOWN today, there is obviously much dispute on what will happen in 6 or 7 days.
Posted by: Slats Glans2659   2008-08-28 19:34  

#11  Anyone got money on the speculation?
Or is it Emo I wanna die talk?
Posted by: .5MT   2008-08-28 18:54  

#10  This could be VERY destructive for the US. Speculation is starting that once Gustav gets to 100-200 miles off the Gulf coast-it will just stall for a couple days. All the time spinning and intensifying over very warm water.
Posted by: Slats Glans2659   2008-08-28 15:01  

#9  Folks, 22 dead in a piss-poor commie shithole does NOT translate into disaster in the US.
Posted by: mojo   2008-08-28 13:43  

#8  And once your car is filled, remember to top it off every six hours.
Posted by: .5MT   2008-08-28 12:06  

#7  Don't forget to fill up before Sunday. Gas is going up, up, up every minute Gustav works toward the gulf.
Posted by: Jack is Back!   2008-08-28 11:34  

#6  In the mean time, a million people are flooded out in India.
Posted by: ed   2008-08-28 10:03  

#5  Katrina hiccupped east and missed New Orleans too. But the surge was strong and the levees weren't, so after the storm passed we got flooded.
Posted by: Glenmore   2008-08-28 09:20  

#4  Heh, the two different maps tell exactly the same story. "It'll hit somewhere in here, but we're not sure."

Oh, and storms have a tendency to curl at the last minute and miss New Orleans. It's what happened with Hurricane Georges in 1998, when people went into the Superdome for the first time. We remember Katrina and not Georges because it didn't miss.
Posted by: gromky   2008-08-28 08:58  

#3  ...And IIRC, they told us we'd have years to get ready for the next direct hit on Nawlins.

Mike
Posted by: Mike Kozlowski   2008-08-28 06:59  

#2  Here are the storm prediction tracks from various models

Posted by: OldSpook   2008-08-28 03:29  

#1  Looks like it unexpectedly stalled a bit over Haiti and got chewed up by the terrain there. That and there is some upper atmosphere shear that developed unexpectedly as well, that's keeping it from reforming as quickly as was forecast. Still, its a wild card once it enters the Gulf of Mexico and those warm waters.



Posted by: OldSpook   2008-08-28 01:02  

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