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Home Front Economy
Oil prices plummet $10 a barrel
2008-09-30
NEW YORK (AP) -- Oil prices tumbled more than $10 a barrel Monday, dropping back below $100 as a U.S. financial bailout failed to win legislative approval, raising fears of a prolonged economic downturn that could drastically erode global energy demand. Light, sweet crude for November delivery sank $10.52, or 9.8 percent, to settle at $96.36 on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after earlier dropping as low as $95.04.

The dramatic sell-off capped a week of frenzied volatility in oil markets.

A week earlier, prices shot up over $16 to $120.92 a barrel in the biggest one-day dollar gain ever. But as disagreements over the government's $700 billion bailout plan intensified over the last several days, oil market traders began moving out of their positions at a rapid clip; Monday's decline was the second largest ever in dollar terms and the biggest percentage-wise since 2001. Crude has now fallen almost $25, or 20 percent, in the last seven days.

Monday's nosedive came as House lawmakers defeated the emergency measure, which would have absorbed billions of dollars in banks' bad mortgage-related debt and other risky assets in a bid to steady the teetering economy. Democratic and Republican lawmakers pledged to try and work out another deal, but oil markets traders viewed the defeat as another bearish weight on oil.

"This is an acknowledgment that the global slowdown is here and energy demand is not going to be what it was," said Phil Flynn, energy analyst at Alaron Trading Corp. in Chicago.

Oil market traders were skeptical before the plan was voted down. Many doubted it would go far enough to unfreeze credit markets and restore calm to the financial system. If the economy worsens, analysts say businesses could be forced to lay off workers, leading Americans to cut back on driving and other energy use in the world's largest consumer.

Energy consumption overseas is also expected to drop, even in fast-growing developing countries such as India and China, where booming demand for cars and other goods helped drive the oil bubble earlier this year.

"With demand falling at the pace it is, nothing can support crude at levels above $100," said James Cordier, president of Tampa, Fla.-based trading firms Liberty Trading Group and OptionSellers.com. "There's no underlying demand from any pocket."

Highlighting weak U.S. appetite for energy, pump prices kept falling Monday. A gallon of regular slipped about a penny overnight to a new national average of $3.643, according to auto club AAA, the Oil Price Information Service and Wright Express. Prices peaked at $4.114 on July 17. Gasoline could get cheaper as U.S. Gulf Coast energy output ramps up following the passage of Hurricanes Ike and Gustav. About 57 percent of crude oil production and 53 percent of natural gas output remained shut-in Monday after shutdowns prompted by the storms, according to the U.S. Minerals Management Service, meaning more supply has yet to come on line.

But analysts say the rough economic conditions will make $3.50 gasoline feel like $4 for many consumers. "In a falling economy like this, that's going to seem very expensive and is not going ot jolt the consumer to spend more or drive more," Cordier said.

In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures fell 22.89 cents to settle at $2.7885 a gallon, while gasoline futures dropped 26.81 to settle at $2.397 a gallon. Natural gas futures lost 40.7 cents to settle at $7.221 per 1,000 cubic feet. In London, November Brent crude fell $9.56 to settle at $93.98 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.
Posted by:Steve White

#14  Just drove from New Orleans to Portland, OR and had no shortages anywhere along the route. Prices from $3.40 to $4.00.
Posted by: Glenmore   2008-09-30 19:12  

#13  Gas finally fell below $4.00/gal in Anchorage. No supply problems. If you can, I would recommend storing 20 to 30 gallons safely for a backup.
Posted by: Alaska Paul   2008-09-30 13:19  

#12  No gas in Atlanta, plenty gas in Wilmington NC, where it arrives by sea. Apparently there are no spare gas tanker trucks or rail cars that could make up a bit of the shortage. Pity.
Posted by: Anguper Hupomosing9418   2008-09-30 11:14  

#11  Couldn't get kerosene after the war either. Yankees again I suspect.
Posted by: Besoeker   2008-09-30 10:42  

#10  Gas prices in Kansas are excellent; $0.50 less than national average:

*Our own refineries
*No special blends
*Low price per barrel
*Low gas tax rate
Posted by: swksvolFF   2008-09-30 10:42  

#9  beavis i'm in Lavonia towards SC on I85 and the gas is not but about 10 cents cheaoer and the stations are still running out
Posted by: sinse   2008-09-30 10:30  

#8  You've got to get way away Besoker. Lake Oconee area is dry. Now I had no problems last week when I had to travel to Savnnah once I made it to Macon.
Posted by: Beavis   2008-09-30 10:24  

#7  Atlanta is under an EPA edict to have special blends "cleaner" fuel because of air pollution. Get away from Fulton County and the prices and availability are better.
Posted by: Besoeker   2008-09-30 10:21  

#6  Still can't get gas in ATL. $4.25 when you can........
Posted by: Beavis   2008-09-30 10:14  

#5  Up here it was at 3.37 before Ike, went to 3.52 right after, was at 3.33 this AM.
Posted by: tu3031   2008-09-30 09:44  

#4  Oil Marketer Tuesday 30 September 2008

Crude oil prices were down on Tuesday ahead of WednesdayÂ’s weekly report on US inventories. Analysts believe that crude oil stockpiles will increase by 900,000 barrels, while gasoline inventories are expected to be up by 1.8 million barrels.

Brent crude for May delivery dropped 89 cents to $65.95 per barrel on the International Petroleum Exchange. Meanwhile, May contracts for West Texas Intermediate crude lost 94 cents to $65.80 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Nymex gasoline futures for May gained 18 cents to $1.8650 per gallon after a warning from Merrill Lynch that gasoline prices in the US could reach $2.40 per gallon, or $100 per barrel, by summer due to higher demand in the face of low domestic output and dropping inventories and imports.

Posted by: Besoeker   2008-09-30 08:57  

#3  long article with no mention of the possible impact on futures of the expiration of the offshore oil-drilling ban. Nice reporting, AP.

by the way, circular link
Posted by: Frank G   2008-09-30 08:43  

#2  It's partly the dollar strengthening on the chance that the "socialism for wall street billionaires" plan isn't accepted

plus

Demand falling for oil.
Posted by: Bright Pebbles   2008-09-30 08:04  

#1  ...We have still been seeing gas shortages due to refinery outages from Hurricane Ike - but prices have been falling consistently for the last few days, and the shortages have almost disappeared, even though the dealers are still being told that the supply situation has NOT changed. Gotta love the free market.

Mike
Posted by: Mike Kozlowski   2008-09-30 07:59  

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