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Home Front: Politix
Obama leads McCain in three key states
2008-10-02
Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama has secured a solid lead in battleground states that could grant him victory on Election Day.

Polls released on Wednesday reveal new momentum for the Illinois senator against Republican John McCain in the trio of states namely Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, which have proven vital in the race to the White House.

No candidate has won the presidency since 1960 without securing two of the three battlegrounds.

The Quinnipiac University polls predict that Obama will win the November 4th election and that Sarah Palin is destined to lose her initial popularity among voters.

In Pennsylvania, Obama leads McCain by a gaping 54 percent to 39 percent after the debate, compared to 49 percent to 43 percent before the debate.

He is up 51 percent to 43 percent in swing state Florida; compared to a 49 to 43 percent lead before Friday's first of three high-stakes presidential debates.

And in Ohio, Obama is up eight points, 50 percent to 42 percent, after having led by 49 percent to 42 percent before the clash in Mississippi.

The polls among likely voters in the three states were conducted in two groups, between September 22 and 26 and between September 27 and 29. The maximum margin of error was 3.4 percent.
Posted by:Fred

#7  I am starting to get nervous. I really do not want 4 years of amateur night in the White House. How about we make a deal here...you folks south of the 49th don't elect Obama and we folks up here will keep the Liberal moonbats out of power...
Posted by: Chemist   2008-10-02 12:05  

#6  Oversamples of Dems (biased stratification) + Bradley effect = BS4BO.
Posted by: Minister of funny walks   2008-10-02 09:20  

#5  Doom! Doom!

Quinnipiac polls are always over-sampled in favor of the Democratic candidate. I've never seen one where the Quinnipiac poll was on the upside outlier curve. Doesn't mean that they aren't right - 2006 comes to mind - but they tend to be the worst-case polling outfit.
Posted by: Mitch H.   2008-10-02 08:42  

#4  Party organs regardless of nationality parrot the 'official' position. So, what difference does it make?
Posted by: Procopius2k   2008-10-02 07:05  

#3  why in the hell are you picking an Iranian news agency fore reporting about US elections.

More accurate and unbiased than the MSM.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2008-10-02 06:56  

#2  I've had three calls from the Obama campaign in the last two days, asking for my vote, which suggests to me they are not sure of Ohio, no matter the poll numbers. I fear I told them that as I am a warmonger, I couldn't possibly vote for their candidate. I've also asked each gentleman who called (all were gentlemen, for some reason) to pass on my opinion of ACORN. ... I think for future calls, and I'm sure there will be many, I will refuse to vote for someone who has worked for ACORN, both on payroll and off, his entire career. Let the honourable junior senator from the great state of Illinois ponder that when he realizes it's my vote that kept him out of the White House! ;-)
Posted by: trailing wife    2008-10-02 05:31  

#1  Don't know it is true but why in the hell are you picking an Iranian news agency fore reporting about US elections.
Posted by: JFM   2008-10-02 02:33  

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