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| India-Pakistan |
| Destruction of NATO trucks and trouble ahead |
| 2008-12-09 |
| While Pakistan awaits evidence from India so it can prove that it has the capacity to move against non-state actors threatening its writ and allegedly attacking other states in the region, another incident questioning its capacity to control events has taken place. An army of some 300 gunmen — official account puts the number on 30 — blasted their way into two transport terminals on Peshawar’s Ring Road on Sunday and torched more than 160 vehicles destined for US-led NATO troops in Afghanistan. A dominant view in Pakistan, expressed by former military officers in the media, is that Pakistan should block NATO supply convoys going through Pakistan. This volte face has come after a drone attack in Bannu. The “experts” on TV channels began demanding “action” after abandoning the earlier caution aroused by Pakistan’s economic downturn and the money the US pays for the passage of approximately 800 trucks a day. The Taliban attack destroyed a convoy near Peshawar even as there were warnings from South Waziristan that the Taliban would undertake such an operation. The truck terminal was not given any reinforced security despite claims by the government to the contrary, and the attackers were given a free run. At the minimum this proves to the world that the Pakistan army is incapable of — if not unwilling to — putting down such elements and keeping its side of the commitment made to the US on NATO supplies. The supplies overland from Pakistan beget Islamabad the funds for mobilisation against the terrorists. Pakistan is also haunted by the accusations made by India with regard to the origin of the one terrorist caught in Mumbai. The question is not whether the Indians are right or wrong. What is important, in real terms, is whether the world believes India or Pakistan. Pakistan denies that Ajmal Amir Kasab lived in a village named Faridkot in the Okara district of Punjab. Pakistani TV channels have gone to the village and shown people swearing that no Ajmal Amir Kasab or his named parents ever lived there, creating grounds for another media battle over who is telling the truth. But a Pakistani journalist working for London’s Observer has collected evidence which claims to corroborate India’s allegation: the report is based on an electoral roll for Faridkot, which falls under union council number 5, tehsil (area) Dipalpur, district Okara with a list of 478 registered voters, showing a Muhammad Amir (father), Noor Elahi (mother) living in Faridkot. The parents’ identity card numbers too were discovered. This report is going to make Pakistan’s spirited defence irrelevant. The world is going to believe the Indian version. And that is where trouble is going to come from. There is some “cleaning up” going on too but it might be too late and offset by the denials about Faridkot. The army has removed a Lashkar-e-Tayba training camp in Azad Kashmir, on the outskirts of Muzaffarabad. The question is: why now? Accusations were flying thick about this camp for a long time. Informed Pakistanis knew that the camp was there, although camouflaged somewhat by the stratagem of allowing the outfit to take the role of a rescuer of people after the 2005 earthquake in Azad Kashmir, despite some “problems” that the outfit had with “foreign” NGOs working there and their female members. The removal of the camp or its takeover after pushing the Lashkar out of there is a “precaution” against the possibility of Indian “precision strikes” against them. Similarly, the old Lashkar headquarters in Muridke near Lahore has been opened and shown to journalists to establish that no terrorist activities could have been planned there. India has denied that it is planning to use the military option; rationally speaking the military option is unlikely to redound to anyone’s advantage. Yet, passions and internal political pressures can do much damage and the Indian government is under pressure right now. We hope that the Defence Committee of the Cabinet (DCC) yesterday took a cool-headed view of the situation. Realism rather than rage should hold sway despite an environment of Armageddon created by the electronic media first in India and then, in retaliation, in Pakistan. The army must step back and let the civilian government handle the situation without vocal, domestically targeted, diplomacy. This is no time to create unity of the people in favour of rash action. Pakistan has to make a special effort to prove that it is in control of the situation. The two sides must regain the ground lost because of the Mumbai attack. It is time to measure Pakistan’s capacity to withstand the prospect of a multi-pronged conflict raging both within and without. No country in the world can afford to succumb to passion when its economic and political moorings have been snapped. Wisdom recommends that Pakistan take a sober view of the situation and act with flexibility rather than Quixotic bravado. This is also the advice that the Pakistani media should take to heart, and begin to show caution in place of challenge |
| Posted by:john frum |
| #4 As for the NATO trucks, vee IRAQ the Islamists are prob trying to indir induce effective mil confrontation wid the presntly less potent,less competent PAKI ARMY forces while limiting US-NATO to key cities = urban areas. The US, etc. will have to temporarily rely on AIRPOWER FOR LIFT, RECCE [UV's] AND CLOSE SUPPORT, TO WHICH THE MILITANTS HAVE PLENTY OF MAN-PORTABLE SAMS + RPGS??? IOW, PAKI = POST-MUMBAI INDIA > MILITANTS MAY ATTEMPT TO SPREAD WAR/JIHAD AS FOR CONTROL OF THE COUNTRYSIDE = AREAS OUTSIDE OF MAIN CITIES-TOWNS??? ALso, as per the US FINANCIAL CRISIS + CONTROVERSIAL BAILOUT OF DETROIT "BIG 3" [read - new US Military AFVS/IFVS production = new USGovt $$$ hyper-deficit spending of scarce monies it doesn't have]??? |
| Posted by: JosephMendiola 2008-12-09 23:52 |
| #3 ION SOUTH KOREA + possib CHINA could see up to 3.0Milyuhn refugees attempt to cross into their countries iff NORTH KOREA utterly collapses * REDDIT > UN:OVER 40% OF NORTH KOREA'S CIVILIAN POPULATION IS IN DIRE NEED OF IMMEDIATE FOOD AID. |
| Posted by: JosephMendiola 2008-12-09 23:41 |
| #2 WORLD MIL FORUM [paraph]> JAMESTOWN.ORG REPORT: [unconfirmed]OSAMA BIN LADEN HAS NAMED ABDUL HAQ TURKISTANI AS LEADER OF AL-QAEDA'S CHINA BRANCH IN XIANJIANG [Uighurs], WITH APPROVAL ALSO FROM TURKIC ISLAMIC PARTY. IMPROVED SINO-LATIN AMERICA TIES WID AQ AND RADICAL ISLAM STRESSED. Osama is believed to be in personal charge of up to 250 Chinese Militants under auspice of AL-QAEDA??? |
| Posted by: JosephMendiola 2008-12-09 23:11 |
| #1 What is important, in real terms, is whether the world believes India or Pakistan. Oh-oh. I think I know which way that one's gonna go... |
| Posted by: tu3031 2008-12-09 13:47 |