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Science & Technology
Suspect Fatal H5N1 in Russia ex-China
2009-04-17
WHO authorities are working with Russian authorities to track the case and ensure it did not represent an international public health threat. The above comments on the train passengers quarantined in Russia raise concerns that the atypical bilateral pneumonia in the fatal case was caused by H5N1.

China had issued an alert in January for atypical pneumonia cases because of the spate of H5N1 infections. These human infections were not linked to H5N1 confirmed poultry outbreaks and the reported cases ceased in February. Prior to the outbreaks in patients, there were poultry outbreaks in Jiangsu which were cause by clade 7 H5N1.

The first reported case was in Beijing, A/Beijing/01/2009, which was also likely caused by clade 7. The first confirmed H5N1 cases in China was a patient with atypical pneumonia who was misdiagnosed as SARS, but was subsequently found to be infected with clade 7 H5N1, A/Beijing/01/2003.

The victim on the train was a Chinese citizen who boarded the train at the Russian border with northeastern China. The patient was symptomatic for four days on the train before dying, raising concerns of spread to the relatives on the train, who have a temperature.

Passengers in other cars, who were released, were given Ribavarin, signaling a suspected viral etiology. The involvement of WHO in the investigation increases concerns that the virus is H5N1.

More information of the symptoms of the relatives / contacts, who were initially said to have high fever and were subsequently said to have low fever, would be useful.
Chinese woman gets on Russian train at border, dies four days later with acute respiratory symptoms. Russians quarantine rail car, passengers, and hospital to which the other passengers have been transported.
Posted by:Anonymoose

#6  Eventually Moose. Our tech will evolve faster than the viruses.
Posted by: ed   2009-04-17 19:47  

#5  Lifeforms can be pretty sneaky. A breakthrough in cancer treatment came when they realized that tumors will try to defend themselves from treatment, so they now use at least three different attacks at once, to kill it before it can adapt.

I'm not holding my breath with the idea we can beat influenza that has been evolving in competition for thousands of years. Oh maybe for a while.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2009-04-17 18:02  

#4  What I think I recall reading about was a vaccine approach that worked from a piece of the virus a level 'deeper' in its structure, so it would apply to a lot more strains at a time, and thus last longer against mutations.
Posted by: Glenmore   2009-04-17 10:44  

#3  Glenmore: Remember the chess games between chess masters and IBMs Big Blue? Influenza is both so gene flexible, and such a master of natural selection, that on the macro level, it behaves like a computer. Any treatment you come up with for it is countered and trumped with scary speed.

Within two years after the increased use of the three major antiviral agents, especially Tamiflu, in Asia, the *normal* flu strains, in America, have evolved 100% resistance.

As far as Avian flu goes, right now it is progressing on three fronts.

In China, it (clade 7) is extending its endemic range, with completely isolated outbreaks hundreds of miles apart. That is why the nationwide alert to doctors for atypical pneumonia. The Chinese are justifiably frightened.

In Bangladesh, a different strain holds a greater risk of wiping out enormous numbers of animals and birds, causing widespread famine.

In Egypt, they have just announced a third strain of mild pediatric Avian flu that infected a dozen small children but only killed one of them. This is a critical pandemic step, because once inside a human population, it will quickly learn how to become human to human transmissible.

Once it learns how to do this, then the severe lethality will once again reemerge. This is one of the worst danger signals yet.

More:

http://news.google.com/news?q=bird+flu+news&hl=en&lr=&sa=X&oi=news&ct=title
Posted by: Anonymoose   2009-04-17 10:00  

#2  Didn't we hear about some potentially fundamental advance in flu vaccines a month or two ago? Faster, please.
Posted by: Glenmore   2009-04-17 09:33  

#1  OOH, what a great time to schedule a couple extra wars in central asia.
Posted by: Thing From Snowy Mountain   2009-04-17 01:16  

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