[Jakarta Post] Oil prices languished near $46 a barrel Tuesday after renewed doubts about the health of U.S. banks sent crude and stock markets tumbling.Benchmark crude for May delivery was up 5 cents to $45.93 a barrel by midday in Europe in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. After trading near $50 a barrel so far this month, oil prices plunged $4.45 on Monday to settle at $45.88, following a broad sell-off of stocks.
"Oil fundamentals are not tight enough to carry crude above $55 a barrel and as soon as the combined support of strong equities and weak dollar goes missing, then crude oil starts to move back to the lower band of the trading range," said Olivier Jakob of Petromatrix in Switzerland.
On Tuesday, stock markets in Asia closed mostly lower while in Europe most major indices were up only by a few points early in the session. The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 3.6 percent on Monday, the Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 4.3 percent.
With Nymex's May contract expiring Tuesday, traders were focusing more on the June contract, which was trading at $48.68 a barrel by midday in Europe.
"Oil is being driven by perceptions about the economy, and there are plenty of obstacles to an international recovery," said David Moore, commodity strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney. "It's going to be difficult for the next year."
Traders also are focused on weekly petroleum inventory data that the Energy Information Agency will release Wednesday. Analysts expect a build of 3 million barrels in crude stocks, according to a survey by Platts, the energy information arm of McGraw-Hill Cos. Crude stocks already are near 19-year highs.
Moore said he expects crude prices to rise to $58 a barrel by the end of the year as the organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries moves to reduce production in line with falling demand. OPEC has already announced 4.2 million of output cuts since September. "If prices are in the mid-$40s, OPEC might be inclined to leave production targets where they are," Moore said. "But at some point OEC may cut again as demand forecasts keep getting wound back."
In other Nymex trading, gasoline for May delivery was up 0.52 cent to $1.4171 a gallon and heating oil gained 1.44 cents to $1.3460 a gallon. Natural gas for May delivery advanced 1.2 cents to $3.552 per 1,000 cubic feet.