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India-Pakistan
China should break up India: Chinese strategist
2009-08-10
Almost coinciding with the 13th round of Sino-Indian border talks (New Delhi August 7-8, 2009), an article (in the Chinese language) has appeared in China captioned 'If China takes a little action, the so-called Great Indian Federation can be broken up' (Zhong Guo Zhan Lue Gang, www.iiss.cn, Chinese, August 8, 2009).

Interestingly, it has been reproduced in several other strategic and military Web sites of the country and by all means, targets the domestic audience. The authoritative host site is located in Beijing and is the new edition of one, which so far represented the China International Institute for Strategic Studies.

Claiming that Beijing's 'China-Centric' Asian strategy, provides for splitting India, the writer of the article, Zhan Lue, has found that New Delhi's corresponding 'India-Centric' policy in Asia, is in reality a 'Hindustan centric' one. Stating that on the other hand 'local centres' exist in several of the country's provinces (excepting for the UP and certain northern regions), Zhan Lue has felt that in the face of such local characteristics, the 'so-called' Indian nation cannot be considered as one having existed in history.
The Chinese nation might be thought of the same way, from a certain angle ...
According to the article, if India today relies on any thing for unity, it is the Hindu religion.
Other than that India has the largest number of Muslims within its borders of any country in the world ...
The partition of the country was based on religion. Stating that today nation states are the main current in the world, it has said that India could only be termed now as a 'Hindu religious state'. Adding that Hinduism is a decadent religion as it allows caste exploitation and is unhelpful to the country's modernisation, it described the Indian government as one in a dilemma with regard to eradication of the caste system as it realises that the process to do away with castes may shake the foundation of the consciousness of the Indian nation.

The writer has argued that in view of the above, China in its own interest and the progress of Asia, should join forces with different nationalities like the Assamese, Tamils, and Kashmiris and support the latter in establishing independent nation-States of their own, out of India.
Likewise, Uighur and Tibetan nationalists should be assisted in establishing independent nation-states out of China. Maybe even Manchuria should have its own state ...
In particular, the ULFA (United Liberation Front of Asom) in Assam, a territory neighboring China, can be helped by China so that Assam realises its national independence.

The article has also felt that for Bangladesh, the biggest threat is from India, which wants to develop a great Indian Federation extending from Afghanistan to Myanmar. India is also targeting China with support to Vietnam's efforts to occupy Nansha (Spratly) group of islands in South China Sea.

Hence the need for China's consolidation of its alliance with Bangladesh, a country with which the US and Japan are also improving their relations to counter China.

It has pointed out that China can give political support to Bangladesh enabling the latter to encourage ethnic Bengalis in India to get rid of Indian control and unite with Bangladesh as one Bengali nation; if the same is not possible, creation of at least another free Bengali nation state as a friendly neighbour of Bangladesh, would be desirable, for the purpose of weakening India's expansion and threat aimed at forming a 'unified South Asia'.
We could assist the Koreans in China to re-unite with their brethren in the South ...
The punch line in the article has been that to split India, China can bring into its fold countries like Pakistan, Nepal and Bhutan, support ULFA in attaining its goal for Assam's independence, back aspirations of Indian nationalities like the Tamils and Nagas, encourage Bangladesh to give a push to the independence of West Bengal and lastly recover the 90,000 sq km territory in southern Tibet.

Wishing for India's break-up into 20 to 30 nation-States like in Europe, the article has concluded by saying that if the consciousness of nationalities in India could be aroused, social reforms in South Asia can be achieved, the caste system can be eradicated and the region can march along the road of prosperity.
If only the Beijing government could be broken up the various nationalities of China could be aroused, social reforms in East Asia could be achieved, and the region could march along the road of shared prosperity.
The Chinese article in question will certainly outrage readers in India. Its suggestion that China can follow a strategy to dismember India, a country always with a tradition of unity in diversity, is atrocious, to say the least. The write-up could not have been published without the permission of the Chinese authorities, but it is sure that Beijing will wash its hands out of this if the matter is taken up with it by New Delhi.
Likewise I am certain Washington will wash its hands of my humble suggestions ...
It has generally been seen that China is speaking in two voices -- its diplomatic interlocutors have always shown understanding during their dealings with their Indian counterparts, but its selected media is pouring venom on India in their reporting. Which one to believe is a question confronting the public opinion and even policy makers in India.

In any case, an approach of panic towards such outbursts will be a mistake, but also ignoring them will prove to be costly for India.
Posted by:john frum

#15  Setting one barbarian against another is an ancient strategem. Chinese empires have employed it for thousands of years, both in times of strength and weakness. More recently, China provided tens of billions in aid to Communist guerrilla groups in Southeast Asia and Africa during the Cold War. In particular, Robert Mugabe and Joshua Nkomo of Rhodesia's rival communist guerrilla organizations got a ton of aid from the Chinese.
Posted by: Zhang Fei   2009-08-10 23:01  

#14  If this is an example of Chinese political analysis, they are probably evaluating a great many things wrongly. No doubt our own analysts are helping improve the process.
Posted by: trailing wife   2009-08-10 22:17  

#13  And anuther great moment in SINO-INDIAN RELATIONS occurs........
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2009-08-10 19:38  

#12  Minced pig lips and earlobes...I'll pass. Give me nice curry any day.
Posted by: GirlThursday   2009-08-10 17:40  

#11  I like the greasy pork to be honest; especially in pot stickers. But other than that... screw China.
Posted by: Secret Master    2009-08-10 17:34  

#10  Im in good company when I say I am fed up with China's B.S., greasy pork, and human rights issues. And my money is on India.
Posted by: Jack Chalet9975   2009-08-10 17:16  

#9  The Pakistani dictator General Yahya Khan was fond of saying that India only needed a sharp shock for it to split into many pieces.

Ironically it was his country that was split, during the 1971 war, when India was led by a Brahmin Hindu woman (married to a Zoarastrian), with an "untouchable" Defence minister, a Zoarastrian army chief, a Jewish theater commander, Christian Navy admirals offshore, Muslim and Sikh Generals commanding Sikh and Naga (Southern Baptists) spearhead troops.
Posted by: john frum   2009-08-10 15:50  

#8  India is now a US ally. Stuff like this from China is driving us closer to them. All for the good.

China has a worse demographic problem. As many have said, they'll grow old before they become rich (except for the connected elites who are now very rich). And China is just as susceptible to divisive meddling if an adversary decides to play that card.

It is worth discussing he problems of excess males here. Interesting that a log of screwed up places restrict options for marraige either via polygamy (Islam where Osama gets many wives and the cannon fodder get none) or sex selection abortions, etc. in societies that disproportionately value males for whatever reason. I realize war is often the 'release valve' for such a trend. Certainly we see this with some al Queda ops. But shut in, losers looking @ naughty websites all day seems to be a modern trend.

I laugh when I hear American women complaining they are opressed by Western Patriarchy, etc. Yet, the West is a place where parents are equally happy to have a boy or girl. That has been the case for centuries and is a distinctive aspect of various northern european cultures. Unfortunately, immigration and birth rate trends mean that these countries are now changing rapidly in a way that means the 'excess male' trend might be coming there too.
Posted by: JAB   2009-08-10 14:52  

#7  By the way - I'm rooting for India.
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2009-08-10 14:22  

#6  Consider it done, Sgt. Mom.

And don't worry - I wouldn't dream of using that crap.

It's real butter all the way (with an option for Smart Balance for those with cholesterol problems). :-D
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2009-08-10 14:20  

#5  Quadruple it, Barbara ... and don't forget dozen buckets of melted butter. Real butter, not that nasty orange oil that they put on theater popcorn.
Posted by: Sgt. Mom   2009-08-10 14:07  

#4  All these countries are currently stuck as part of India, when they could share in the glory of being the new East Turkmenistan, their original inhabitants all living in stone huts while trainload after trainload of Han colonists take all the good jobs.
Posted by: Thing From Snowy Mountain   2009-08-10 13:48  

#3  Hmmmmm.

Think I should double treble my popcorn order?
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2009-08-10 13:36  

#2  Peaceful Rise (TM)
Posted by: john frum   2009-08-10 13:03  

#1  Despite any official cause, I still suspect that the demographic imbalance in both countries may push them to a population reduction war. 30-50 million "excess" males is a nightmare scenario. With no jobs and no chance for marriage, unless they kill each other off, they will turn into a giant army against their own nations.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2009-08-10 12:09  

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