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Economy
Asia steps in to support dollar
2009-10-09
Asian central banks intervened heavily in the currency markets on Thursday to stem the appreciation of their currencies against the US dollar amid fears that their exports could be losing ground against China. The mainly south-east Asian countries have been spurred to defend the competitiveness of their currencies by ChinaÂ’s decision to in effect re-peg the renminbi to the dollar since July last year.

Simon Derrick, at Bank of New York Mellon in London, said: “Other Asian central banks outside China are naturally looking to aggressively defend their competitive edge against undesirable currency strength as the dollar weakens.”

After allowing the renminbi to appreciate by about 20 per against the US dollar from mid-2005, Beijing re-pegged its currency to the greenback when export growth contracted.

The greenback hit one-year lows against a raft of regional currencies. The dollar index, which tracks its value against a basket of six main currencies, hit a 14-month low in afternoon trading in New York.

Jean-Claude Trichet, European Central Bank president, issued a warning about the euro’s strength on Thursday and said that authorities on both sides of the Atlantic would “co-operate as appropriate”.

Marco Annunziata, chief economist at Unicredit, said: “He clearly tried to signal as convincingly as possible that the eurozone and the US are united in the desire to limit the rise in the euro versus the dollar – but the market is calling his bluff.”

Gold prices hit an all-time high for the third day in a row, on the dollarÂ’s weakness. Base metals such as aluminium and copper jumped 4 per cent, while crude oil surged almost $3 to more than $70 a barrel.

The central banks identified by traders as substantial buyers of US dollars included Thailand, Malaysia and Taiwan. Hong Kong and Singapore, which both have managed currency regimes, were also buyers.

The moves to limit Asian currency appreciation is ammunition for those who warn that the new Group of 20 framework for strong and balanced growth is toothless. Less than a week after the worldÂ’s finance ministers and central bankers agreed to foster more balanced world economic growth in Istanbul, Asian officials have intervened to prevent exchange rates playing their part in the process.

However, traders said that the central bank interventions appeared to be aimed at controlling the pace at which the US dollar declines rather than solely to stop Asian currencies appreciating.

The Obama administration has not altered its refrain that it believes in a “strong dollar” but is seen as unlikely to intervene in currency markets, particularly as the US Treasury recognises the trade-weighted value is similar to where it was two years ago.
Posted by:Steve White

#8  In my opinion, a bad investment.
Posted by: Richard of Oregon   2009-10-09 13:47  

#7  Hence the Chicom desperation to quickly find an alternative to the US$

They are buying up hard assets as quickly as possible.
Posted by: ed   2009-10-09 07:16  

#6  I understand most of these nations peg their own currency values to the US dollar. If the dollar tanks, no one benefits --

The oil ticks. The price of oil will adjust upward relative to the dollar decline. Those nations usually don't have the option other than to import their energy sources. On the other hand America has lacked the will to develop its own, which in this scenario means the cost of production and transportation will be subject to the rise in the price of oil. Had the quaint Gaia worshipers and Luddites been tolerated rather than empowered, the economic outlook for recovery would not be subject to this manipulation.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2009-10-09 07:03  

#5  I think they're aiming for a Euro-Renminbi split, but the Jordanian Dinar would probably be just as effective. The Ruble might be another good option. :-P
Posted by: Scooter McGruder   2009-10-09 05:37  

#4  Hence the Chicom desperation to quickly find an alternative to the US$

I suggest Jordanian Dinar.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2009-10-09 05:06  

#3  I understand most of these nations peg their own currency values to the US dollar. If the dollar tanks, no one benefits -- not even the Chinese (Hence the Chicom desperation to quickly find an alternative to the US$).
Posted by: Scooter McGruder   2009-10-09 05:02  

#2  Asians are addicted to managed exchange rates. They will spend a pile of money for no result except to delay the inevitable by a few days or weeks.
Posted by: phil_b   2009-10-09 03:06  

#1  ION PAKISTANI DEFENCE FORUM > SAUDIS WANT INTERNATIONAL AID IFF WORLD STOPS DEPENDENCY ON OIL.

Whoa, talk about "Left Field"!
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2009-10-09 00:39  

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