You have commented 339 times on Rantburg.

Your Name
Your e-mail (optional)
Website (optional)
My Original Nic        Pic-a-Nic        Sorry. Comments have been closed on this article.
Bold Italic Underline Strike Bullet Blockquote Small Big Link Squish Foto Photo
Home Front: Politix
Upset In The Making? Brown Leads Coakley In MA Sen Poll
2010-01-10
Democrats have been playing a careful game as the Massachusetts Senate contest winds down, raising the stakes in an effort to keep supporters engaged, but unwilling to admit any real concern. But this survey out late Saturday from Public Policy Polling (D) (744 LVs, 1/7-9, MoE +/- 3.6%) is sure to have Democrats across the country in a more obvious panic.

Special Election Matchup
Brown (R) 48
Coakley (D) 47
Und 6

Brown, who has had the airwaves largely to himself since the December primary election, has strong net +32 rating, while Coakley is just +7. And that is helping him with indies. From PPP:

Brown leads 63-31 with independents and is winning 17% of the Democratic vote while Coakley receives only 6% support from GOP voters. Both candidates are relatively popular, with 57% viewing Brown favorably to only 25% unfavorable and 50% with a positive opinion of Coakley to 42% negative.

Brown has run on the idea that he would be the "41st vote" in the Senate to oppose health care, and it seems those who are more likely to vote on January 19 would favor that decision: 47 percent oppose the Democratic plan, while 41 percent support it. President Obama's approval rating among these likely voters is a slim 44 percent, to 43 percent who disapprove.

It seems unlikely a final health care vote will happen in the Senate until after this special election, which certainly raises the stakes for Democrats here. The Coakley camp has announced that President Clinton will campaign with the attorney general this Friday. Perhaps now you'll see some sort of direct appeal from the White House. And Democrats will certainly have to try and raise Brown's negatives and tie him to the national GOP if they are to right the ship.

Though he's been clear he'd side with his party on the key issues like health care, Brown called himself as an independent in an interview with RCP this week who wouldn't be beholden to anyone if he was elected. You can read more from that interview here.

Posted by:GolfBravoUSMC

#14  Brown has no chance - who counts the votes in Massachusetts?
Posted by: Glenmore   2010-01-10 18:22  

#13  No way Mass votes for the Republican. They still have a foul taste in the mouth from Romney. Yeah, there's a reason he didn't run for a second term--he would have lost, badly.

Question -- if Mass elects the Dem, will they delay certification until end of Feb? Because then there wouldn't be 60 votes in the Senate for cloture...
Posted by: Iblis   2010-01-10 17:34  

#12  
Posted by: OldSpook   2010-01-10 17:28  

#11  Mods: Thanks for fixing that graphic being too big.
Posted by: OldSpook   2010-01-10 17:23  

#10  The donks will do whatever they have to do to not lose this Senate seat. Whatever they have to! WHATEVER! I don't think they can have an honest election up there. As has been said, it is genetic. After all this is Chicago Boston politics.
Posted by: JohnQC   2010-01-10 15:45  

#9  I have but three words about the possibility of a Brown victory - when pigs fly.
Posted by: Zhang Fei   2010-01-10 13:40  

#8  The People's Republic of Mass replace Kennedy with a Republican Senator - NOT GOING TO HAPPEN.
Posted by: DMFD   2010-01-10 13:30  

#7  Can't the public see the massive corruption associated with this kind of behavior?

No. This is Mass, home of the inbred idiot Southies who vote Dem automatically because granpa did, the minority voter who votes by rote for their plantation masters, and the snotty upper class who votes for the fellow members of the ruling class.

In other words, its a state packed with self-important ignoramuses who cannot see just how stupid they really are. Its Arkansas with better press.
Posted by: OldSpook   2010-01-10 12:30  

#6  Dems, pay no attention. The Globe says you are up by 14, and nobody on the GOP side thinks there is any chance of winning, see some of the posters above for example. Just stay calm, dont sweat it. Coakley and the Kennedy Team have it handled.

Posted by: OldSpook   2010-01-10 12:25  

#5  Does Massachusetts have districts like California and Washington? Ones that "find" enough ballots hours or days after an election? Those ballots are always in liberal districts and seem to be just enough to get the Donk over the top.
Posted by: Cyber Sarge   2010-01-10 12:14  

#4  this is wishful thinking, no chance Brown wins even with the $50 Kansas I sent to him.
Posted by: bman   2010-01-10 11:34  

#3  I'm coming to the conclusion that the tyranny they are implementing have already implemented cannot be stopped by anything short of arms.

FYP
Posted by: AzCat   2010-01-10 10:20  

#2  Didn't they change the law there twice already, the last time to get the interim acting Senator in so they could vote on healthcare? Can't the public see the massive corruption associated with this kind of behavior?
Posted by: NoMoreBS   2010-01-10 10:06  

#1  It seems unlikely a final health care vote will happen in the Senate until after this special election, which certainly raises the stakes for Democrats here.

Except that the Demons here have already announced that they will delay certifying the election results till after that Senate vote. Though the election is 1/19 they have stated that the certification won't come till the end of Feb.

This is getting very scary. I'm coming to the conclusion that the tyranny they are implementing cannot be stopped by anything short of arms.
Posted by: AlanC   2010-01-10 08:49  

00:00