 Another grim milestone in the Bambi administration ... | WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The White House will predict a $1.6 trillion U.S. budget deficit in the 2010 fiscal year, a fresh record and the biggest since World War Two as a share of the economy, a congressional source told Reuters on Sunday. The grim forecast adds to the challenges facing President Barack Obama, who is emphasizing a message of fiscal discipline but is also seeking stimulus measures to boost the struggling economy in the near term.
Obama's budget proposal, which will be released at 10 a.m. EST on Monday, will predict a narrowing of the deficits to $700 billion by fiscal 2013 before they gradually rise back to $1 trillion by the end of the decade, the Capitol Hill source said.
That's before the health care 'reform' bill comes due. | He will submit his spending blueprint for the 2011 fiscal year that begins October 1 and runs through September 30 next year. Obama is trying to strike a balance between long-term deficit reduction and easing the pain of double-digit unemployment through proposals such as tax credits to encourage business hiring and tax breaks for middle class families.
Criticized by Republicans as a big spender, Obama used his State of the Union address last week to tell Americans he would dig the country out of a "massive fiscal hole."
That hole is even deeper than previously believed, according to the estimate by the White House's Office of Management and Budget.
Notice how 'unexpected' everything is in the Bambi economy? | The estimate for the current 2010 fiscal year that ends September 30 is significantly higher than the $1.35 trillion figure forecast by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office last week.
Despite the difference, both estimates indicate that the deficit will continue to hover near 10 percent of gross domestic product, a level not seen since World War Two, when measured as a percentage of the economy. Last year, the government posted a $1.4 trillion deficit, equivalent to 9.9 percent of GDP.
In his budget, Obama will propose a three-year freeze on some domestic programs to save $20 billion next year and $250 billion over the coming decade. But that will not be enough to get deficits down permanently to the 3 percent of GDP that most economists consider sustainable.
Deficits are projected to fall as the economy recovers, but they will still average roughly 4.5 percent of GDP over the coming decade, according to the estimate.
That's before we pay for the health care 'reform', cap and trade, and Son of Stimulus ... | Deficits are expected to rise again toward the end of the decade due to the increasing cost of retirement and healthcare programs as the "baby boom" generation retires.
Obama has warned that the burgeoning U.S. debt could unnerve U.S. financial markets, driving up borrowing costs and putting future economic growth at risk.
Should have thought of that last year ... | China, the biggest foreign holder of U.S. Treasuries, has urged the United States to get its fiscal house in order.
The bleak numbers could help build support for a bipartisan commission proposed by the White House that would recommend ways to address the budget problems.
We already have a 'bipartisan commission' to cut the budget: it's called, Congress ... |
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