#3 I read through the state by state blurbs. I think the summaries underestimate the potential outcome of the upcoming election. The summary on Mass, for instance, still indicates that it is solidly in camp Obama ... yet Scott Brown is in the Senate.
What may be happening is that general pollling will continue to show support for Obama among people that will fill out Novemeber ballots at a rate of maybe 30%. On the other hand, folks that are disgusted enough with the stimulus, bailouts and Obamacare to show up at a tea party will turn out in November at a 90% rate or greater. |