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China-Japan-Koreas
Get Ready for the NORK collapse
2010-05-13
What is most worrying about a possible North Korean collapse is that the key players in the region are not talking to each other, even informally, about such an eventuality. It's almost certain that these powers--China, the United States, Japan, South Korea and, possibly, Russia--have all drawn up their own contingency plans for Pyongyang's quick collapse.
Obama's plan is to quickly claim credit for the collapse and blame any problems on someone else
However, they've done nothing to explore a collective response to what is without doubt a geopolitical game-changer.

As a result, many crucial questions remain unanswered. For instance, how should the United States and South Korea react if China sends combat troops into North Korea to conduct 'humanitarian assistance' missions?
that's easy - express 'deep concern'
In all likelihood, Beijing will be tempted to do so if millions of refugees start fleeing into China. Which country will take the lead in securing nuclear materials?
If the Chinese go there, it is theirs
How will China respond to the crossing of the 38th parallel by South Korean and US forces? Who will take the lead in reaching out to Pyongyang's post-Kim regime? What will be the collective security architecture after the Korean peninsula is reunified?
Posted by:lord garth

#5  I have to wonder if the Chin WANT NORK as it comes with a huge price tag in food, sorta like winning the lottery and finding you have to pay it all in Taxes, plus another hundred thousand or so.
Posted by: Redneck Jim   2010-05-13 22:53  

#4  There's a paradox at play. All told, only the Chinese can get in there fast enough to secure the Nork nukes. And if this could result in a puppet regime that would not make as much mess and fuss, maybe even lighten up a bit, so that aid would flow in, the Chinese would be happy about that.

However, anything beyond that would take a lot of negotiations with the US. And that won't happen until the shrimp pegs.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2010-05-13 14:36  

#3  Bobby- WWSAD? LMAO!

DA: "Mr. President, sir, I hate to pull you away from your regular golf game with Mr. Reggie Love but I just got word that the Communist regime in North Korea is in total collapse. Initial reports indicate that a humanitarian crisis of epic proportions is unfolding as we speak. To make matters worse, the Chinese have announced that they are sending in troops to provide order and security. How would you like to respond, sir?"

O: "Send in the Community Organizers!"

Posted by: eltoroverde   2010-05-13 14:16  

#2  If the Chinese go there, it is theirs

Half of it probably already is. It might 'tactful' to not gripe about them 'securing' these items.
Posted by: gorb   2010-05-13 14:05  

#1  What would Saul Alinksy do?
Posted by: Bobby   2010-05-13 12:14  

00:00