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Caribbean-Latin America
Cantu assassination: Why are drug cartels killing Mexican candidates?
2010-06-29
The leading candidate for governor of the northern Mexican state of Tamaulipas, Rodolfo Torre Cantu, was gunned down Monday in one of the highest profile assassinations since a presidential candidate was murdered in 1994. Gunmen opened fire on Torre Cantu's campaign van days before the July 4 election in 14 states and one month after a mayoral candidate was killed in the same state.

The murders are the first time in recent memory that Mexico's drug cartels have allegedly targeted electoral candidates. (Presidential candidate Luis Donaldo Colosio's death in 1994 was considered more politically motivated.)

"Today has proven that organized crime is a permanent threat and that we should close ranks to confront it and prevent it from repeating acts such as the cowardly assassination that shocked the country today," President Felipe Calderon said in a televised address.

Mr. Calderon added that the crime syndicates want "to interfere in the decisions of citizens and in electoral processes." He made the statements following a meeting with top Mexican security officials, adding that political parties should work together to bring the culprits to justice.

At least four others, including local Tamaulipas lawmaker Enrique Blackmore, were reportedly murdered along with Torre Cantu -- a 46-year-old doctor who had stepped down as federal Congressman of the opposition Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) to run for governor.

The timing of the assassination sends a message to candidates of all parties that they may be called upon to collaborate with the traffickers, or perish, as currently happens with law enforcement officials, say analysts.

"The cartels don't seek a failed state. Rather they want 'dual sovereignty' -- that is, to pay off public officials in return for their closing their eyes to criminality," says George W. Grayson, a Mexico counternarcotics expert and professor of government at the College of William & Mary in Williamsburg, Va.
Makes sense. That way the profits can be kept safely in bank accounts instead of under the bed, and wives and daughters can safely wear their jewelry while safely shopping for more, and the children needn't be heavily guarded against kidnapping on the way to and from school.
The murder comes as the Zeta and Gulf cartels battle for territory in Tamaulipas. While the PRI in Tamaulipas had enjoyed relative calm during the Gulf cartel reign, bloodshed has escalated with the rise of the Zetas, says Grayson, concluding that the Zetas likely killed Torre Cantu to prove they are the most "savage" crime organization in town.

The assassination will likely hurt voter turnout by generating fear in the July 4 race, during which 12 governorships and municipal posts in 14 states will be decided, says Aldo Muñoz, a political scientist at Mexico State's Autonomous University.

The May 13 murder of Jose Mario Guajardo, a candidate for mayor of Valle Hermoso in Tamaulipas, near the border with Brownsville, Texas, reportedly scared off other would-be candidates in the state.

Candidates will be affected more severely by this latest killing -- increasing security or refusing to run -- as they recognize that "whoever wants to be governor or mayor of an influential territory may have to negotiate with organized crime or risk losing their lives," Muñoz says.
Posted by:Steve White

#2  IIRC, Villa was an American-backed revolutionary who morphed into an anti-American bandit king after his bid for Mexico City collapsed.

Not that there's a hell of a lot of difference between bandit and revolutionary in your average failed state. Look at Mao before the Long March, or Savimbi in Angola.
Posted by: Mitch H.   2010-06-29 13:54  

#1  The cartel is morphing into a power center to counter the despised and corrupt government. Same game Pancho Villa played a hundred years ago. From bandito to revolutionary against the then corrupt government of Mexico City. Its an easy step to targeting terrorists politicians in the American model from Afghanistan. They just use peons rather than drones.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2010-06-29 08:06  

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