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| -Signs, Portents, and the Weather- |
| A comparison of local and aggregated climate model outputs with observed data |
| 2010-11-22 |
| Gorebull Worming models are worse than useless at predicting. Abstract We compare the output of various climate models to temperature and precipitation observations at 55 points around the globe. We also spatially aggregate model output and observations over the contiguous USA using data from 70 stations, and we perform comparison at several temporal scales, including a climatic (30-year) scale. Besides confirming the findings of a previous assessment study that model projections at point scale are poor, results show that the spatially integrated projections are also poor. |
| Posted by:tipper |