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Great White North
Harper: Iran ready to use nuclear weapons
2012-01-06
Posted by:Durnham Freebody

#6  TOPIX > [Supreme Cleric Ayatollah Khamenei]IRAN'S WARNINGS LAYS OUT TOUGHER MILITARY DOCTRINE, namely ...

> Iran will respond or answer any foreign threats, real or perceived, wid threats of its own.
> Maintain BOLD-IF-NOT-BOLDER DISPLAYS OF MILITARY = MILPOL POWER.
> BRINKMANSHIP-BASED DIPLOMATIC POSTURING.
> Keep the US + its ARab-Muslim Allies guessing.
> RAMP UP ANY + ALL INTERNATIONAL PRESSURES, ETC. AGZ ENEMIES, BUT NOT BE RECKLESS.

* SAME > A SECRET NUCLEAR TEST [drive = push for] COULD BE IRAN'S TRUMP CARD IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ STANDOFF.

Iran wants no repeat of the losses in mil assets + loss of international credibility it received during the late 1980's as per the Reagan-Bush Admins [KUWAITI TANKER REFLAGGING + ESCORT], HENCE IS PUSHING/DRIVING HARD TO DEV ITS NUCLEAR CAPABILITY ASAP AMAP.

* SAME > IRAN'S SECRET INTERCONTINENTAL BALLISTIC MISSLE [ICBM] PROGRAMME, as based on on-going indigenous modifications + improvs to SHAHAAB-III'S = NORTH KOREA-SUPPLIED LRBMS.

versus

* WAFF > [StrategyPage = Pakistan] DESPERATE, CORNERED, + WILLING TO KILL.

* SAME > US + PAKISTAN HEADING TO CONFRONTATION OVER ISRAEL.

Pakland's indirect threat to Israel vee PROLIFERATION OF PAK-DEV NUCLEAR, MIL TECHNOLOGY TO ANTI-ISRAELI MUSLIM GOVTS-STATES IN THE MIDDLE EAST.

Lest we fergit, LOSS OF PAKISTAN'S GOVT. TO PRO-ISLAMIST MILITARY ELEMENTS, OR TO MILITANTS VEE POLITICAL-LEGAL JIHAD [elections] is deemed a DISASTER FOR ISRAEL + US FOREIGN, GWOT POLICY, espec as Pak is the World's only Nuke-armed Muslim State.

* SAME > {PressTv.IR] JAPAN MULLS IGNORING US OIL BAN ON IRAN.

* PAKISTAN DEFENCE FORUM > ASIAN NATIONS WANT IRANIAN OIL, despite US-led Sanctions.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2012-01-06 22:49  

#5  
Because I would think the Testing of one would set off a world of hurt for them.


Umm, why?
You do something before they get nukes.
Afterwards, you've waited too long.
Posted by: Thang Angagum7054   2012-01-06 22:13  

#4  What the US Govt-DOD has labeled as covert "Franchising" of Miltechs + related proficiencies between countries, aka bvilateral or multilateral tech-sharing.

Again, unless US-Allied INTEL have clusterfucked on Iran's true mil arsenal + capabilities, in its present state the best Iran can do is ALLOW A US-LED ATTACK + GROUND INVASION TO OCCUR, ALL US = US-ALIED MILFORS TO PENETRATE INTO IRAN'S DEEP INTERIOR, + THEN WAGE ASYMMETRIC, VIETNAM-STYLE MILITARY-CIVILIAN "PEOPLE'S WAR" + GEOPOL BRINKMANSHIP = "GREAT POWERS" MILPOL CONFRONTATIONISM.

TIME FACTORS is prolly Iran's greatest single asset, i.e. TIME TO DEVELOP RELIABLE ADVANCED NUKE-WMD WEAPONS, AT LEAST AT THE TACTICAL/CONVENTIONAL LEVEL(S), WHICH WOULD MAKE ANY FOREIGN GROUND CAMPAIGN COST-PROHIBITIVE IN TERMS OF CASUALTIES + MEDIA, DIPLOMATIC HUMILIATION.

IOW, THE LONGER THE US-ALLIES PUT OFF A MILSTRIKE + GROUND CAMPAIGN, THE STRONGER IRAN WILL GET + HARDER IT WILL BE TO DEFEAT.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2012-01-06 18:32  

#3  They don't care.
Posted by: gorb   2012-01-06 13:59  

#2  Out of curiosity, how would Iran go about test-firing a nuke without us noticing? Anybody know? Because I would think the Testing of one would set off a world of hurt for them.
Posted by: Charles   2012-01-06 13:57  

#1  Once.
Posted by: Redneck Jim   2012-01-06 08:40  

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