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Economy
BLS unemployment lies: actual implied unemployment at 11.5%
2012-02-03
Sick of the BLS propaganda? Then do the following calculation with us: using BLS data, the US civilian non-institutional population was 242,269 in January, an increase of 1.7 million month over month: apply the long-term average labor force participation rate of 65.8% to this number (because as chart 2 below shows, people are not retiring as the popular propaganda goes: in fact labor participation in those aged 55 and over has been soaring as more and more old people have to work overtime, forget retiring), and you get 159.4 million: that is what the real labor force should be. The BLS reported one? 154.4 million: a tiny 5 million difference. Then add these people who the BLS is purposefully ignoring yet who most certainly are in dire need of labor and/or a job to the 12.758 million reported unemployed by the BLS and you get 17.776 million in real unemployed workers. What does this mean? That using just the BLS denominator in calculating the unemployed rate of 154.4 million, the real unemployment rate actually rose in January to 11.5%. Compare that with the BLS reported decline from 8.5% to 8.3%. It also means that the spread between the reported and implied unemployment rate just soared to a fresh 30 year high of 3.2%. And that is how with a calculator and just one minute of math, one strips away countless hours of BLS propaganda.

Difference between Reported and Implied Unemployment Rate







And why the Labor Force Participation rate is not declining due to retirement.

Posted by:DarthVader

#4  "The unemployment rate in Norway is now at 2.8 per cent, the lowest in Europe".

Drill baby drill!. Hopefully China hasn't bought everything up.
Posted by: Dale   2012-02-03 20:55  

#3  Of course there are also some of us Baby Boomers who had figured on being retired about now, but are hanging on to our jobs because a good job is the only asset of any real value anymore.
Posted by: Glenmore   2012-02-03 18:14  

#2  Take a look at Shadow Stats employment data - which includes long term discouraged workers (like the 3 yr unemployed semi-conductor engineer who's wife questioned Obama). Actual rate is more like 23%.
Posted by: Cincinnatus Chili   2012-02-03 16:44  

#1  I really expected numbers game. Next week we will see adjustments. O is taking credit as expected. Being an election year everything is being done to protect this administration. This is good. The truth hurts. We need some propaganda so everyone doesn't jump ship. Should Republicans win suddenly the truth will get out. The sheep are being led. They believe everything they are told. Don't worry be happy(blame the evil 1% and capitalism). We have controls to correct all our economic troubles. No great depression. This is a modern world now. In two months time 2.5 million jobs(heard that on the radio today) are gone. Yes, older people are working but I'd bet its part time low wages.
Posted by: Dale   2012-02-03 14:53  

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