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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Syria: Now is the decisive battle, Muslim Brotherhood says
2012-07-18
The ''decisive battle'' has begun in Damascus, exiled Syrian Muslim Brotherhood leaders meeting in Istanbul in their first plenary congress in 30 years said today.

Three decades after their attempted uprising against Hafez al Assad, father of the current Syrian president, ended in a bloodbath and 20,000 dead, the Sunnite Muslim Brotherhood now sees their chance for a comeback.

In spite of ''long years of repression by the regime,'' the movement has remained strong in Syria, said Brotherhood leader, Mohammad Riad Shakfa. The biggest force on the Syrian National Council, which is the West's main opposition interlocutor, and very influential in the Syrian Free Army, the Muslim Brotherhood is supported by Turkish Premier Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who is also a Sunnite, and whom Assad accuses of fomenting a religious war in his country. If Syria were to follow the Egyptian model post-Assad, the country's next leader might well be from the Muslim Brotherhood.

But Syria's strong ethnic and religious divisions, as evidenced by tensions within the anti-Assad forces, could also cause the country to split, warned analyst Abdullah Bozkurt.

From Turkey's point of view, the nightmare scenario would be a three-way split into a Shiite Alawite state along the Mediterranean, a Kurdish state between Turkey and Iraqi Kurdistan, and a Sunnite state in the rest of the country, Bozkurt said. In recent days, Syrian Kurdish National Council leader Sherkoh Abbas accused the Muslim Brotherhood of ''railroading the revolution'' in order to replace Assad with ''an Islamic, Sunnite, Arab and nationalist regime.''
Posted by:tipper

#4  Are you saying that when you are beaten back,(Again) you'll give up?

Of course not. If the Sunni Arabs win this battle, they're winning. If the Sunni Arabs lose this battle ("tis but a scratch"), they're also winning. The timeline just gets extended.

Still, I understand why they're doing this - they're hoping for a cascade of surrenders. At the same time, like Tet, it's a heavy risk, and they'll lose a lot of people, given how well-protected Damascus is. And a thousand years of persecution, coupled with fresh reminders from Iraq's persecution of minorities should have inured Syria's minorities to the likelihood that they will be liquidated if the Sunni Arabs come to power. In a fight to the death where one side has the heavy weapons, I'm not laying any money on the Sunni Arabs. Even Gaddafi's shambolic army was on the verge of wiping out the opposition when NATO jumped in. Syria's Alawites came close to overrunning northern Israel during Yom Kippur in 1973.
Posted by: Zhang Fei   2012-07-18 18:13  

#3  Neither side is our friend. Best wishes for a protracted and bloody fight. Cue the popcorn.
Posted by: Nero   2012-07-18 17:34  

#2  More probable is that the Syrian National Council will break up, which is likely what the MB would prefer.
Posted by: Pappy   2012-07-18 16:31  

#1  Syria: Now is the decisive battle, Muslim Brotherhood says

Are you saying that when you are beaten back,(Again) you'll give up?
Posted by: Redneck Jim   2012-07-18 10:51  

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