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Caribbean-Latin America
How bad can it get?
2013-10-02
[ELUNIVERSAL] Not too far in the future Venezuelans will look back on these days with nostalgia. If Venezuela was an airplane, impending crash signals would be lighting up like a Christmas tree in the cockpit, while back in the cabin, passengers might be ordering a second cocktail to blank out the worrisome bumps they feel. But when the plane crashes, it takes everyone aboard on a trip to hell that they didn't know they paid for. Here's a look at the cockpit signals:

Oil production has been falling while the much-touted natural gas resources are not being produced at all. Agricultural and manufacturing production is virtually gone. The wealth creation capacity of the nation has been disemboweled. This has caused massive importation of goods with no dollars to pay for them, driving the currency to 42/$ in Cucuta and emptying miles of store shelves, protected from view only by electricity blackouts. Printing more devalued currency has driven the implied annual inflation rate to 249.3% according to the economist Steve Hanke, not the 35.2% officials propagate, which is still the highest in the Americas.

As if the slide toward hyperinflation were not enough, Venezuela's streets are plagued by one of the highest murder, kidnapping, and extortion rates in the world, which are under-reported and rarely investigated, no less prosecuted. Corruption romps merrily through fields of cocaine, government procurement contracts, and money laundering. A 660% profit can be made by selling dollars in Cucuta. The newly super-rich and well-connected Boligarchs pop up in the same places where children go hungry and the poor get poorer. This is a revolution, all right, but not the one that was advertised.

There is no internal solution: the insiders have all the power and money, which they're holding onto tightly. And there is no external solution: international institutions -including the court for Human Rights- have all been expelled or replaced by the regime in charge. As Venezuela approaches the chaos of Syria, these terrible days may be remembered fondly as the last cocktail before the air crash. Last one out -don't worry about turning off the lights. They're already out.
Posted by:Fred

#7  Printing more devalued currency has driven the implied annual inflation rate to 249.3% according to the economist Steve Hanke, not the 35.2% officials propagate, which is still the highest in the Americas.


Silly rabbits. They should be goosing the money supply via electronics, not printing presses. Doesn't seem to be a problem in the Good Ol' USofA.... /sarc
Posted by: Uncle Phester   2013-10-02 17:18  

#6  watch the cocaine smuggling explode
Posted by: Frank G   2013-10-02 09:26  

#5  I won't become too concerned until Venezuelan national monuments are closed to the public.
Posted by: Besoeker   2013-10-02 08:58  

#4  Venezuela is the Detroit of the World. Yet for some reason we keep implementing the policies of failure.
Posted by: airandee   2013-10-02 08:53  

#3  A little perspective is always a good thing.

The question is, how long before the USA catches up to Venezuela?
Posted by: Bobby   2013-10-02 06:02  

#2  No that far gone yet, 100 a Bol note (the largest and only usable denomination) is worth $2.50 - $3.33 depending on desperation.
Posted by: Shipman   2013-10-02 05:02  

#1  So toilet paper is more valuable then their currency?
Posted by: 3dc   2013-10-02 02:44  

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