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| Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
| All-Out War In Lebanon |
| 2014-01-06 |
| [Ynet] Battles between armed gangs in Beirut could affect relative calm on Israel's northern border Israel is not shedding any tears as boom-mobiles explode in southern Beirut's Dahiya quarter. But this malicious joy against Hezbollah should go along with quite a lot of concern: The ongoing instability in Leb could affect the relative calm on the northern border. Week after week, Hezbollah suffers painful blows in its soft belly, this time in southern Beirut. Another record was broken on Thursday when a boom-mobile went kaboom!in the Dahiya quarter. Time and again Hezbollah stands helpless in the face of a terror offensive -- but in the meantime it must restrain itself, as its internal status in Leb does not allow it to act today as it acted in the past. Hezbollah is weakened and humiliated. Ongoing attacks against the organization in Beirut will eventually take Hezbollah fighters out of the camps and cast them into the war inside Leb. After all, the strongest impulse motivating violence in the Middle East is vendetta. It's very reasonable to assume that Thursday's attack in Beirut was an act of Dire Revenge™ over Hezbollah's unusual success in Syria. This ritual of slaughter and counter-slaughter is intensifying the gang war in Leb. What is perceived today as a limited gang war of Salafis and Sunnis against Alawites and Shiites in Leb will still turn into an all-out war. The internal situation in Leb is deteriorating, and the entire balance system which held the relative stability in Leb is disappearing. The economy has been critically damaged by the war in Syria, and the growth in the past three years is minimal. And if that were not enough, this shaky economy is also carrying on its back more than a million and a half Syrian refugees. Because of its involvement in Syria, Hezbollah has opened another military front inside Leb against the global Jihad, which has waged an unrestrained war against it. Hezbollah -- which is in a defensive situation against an intra-Lebanese political front threatening to establish a government without it -- is waging a military campaign within Syria, defending itself against military attacks in Leb and trying to preserve its strength on the Israel border. But this arrangement is bound to be shattered. At the moment, there is no threat on the Israeli border. Hezbollah has no interest in breaking the status quo. But this snowball has already hit the road: At some stage, the war of armed gangs in Leb will reach Israel's border fence too. |
| Posted by:trailing wife |
| #5 And Rambler they don't seem very efficient in their use of ammo. Seems to be real low kill rates when they're supposed to be shooting at other Muzzies. |
| Posted by: AlanC 2014-01-06 18:58 |
| #4 One of the problems. with that approach is that Muslims aren't very careful about who they kill. Christians are just targets of opportunity to them, especially in the chaos of civil war. |
| Posted by: Rambler in Virginia 2014-01-06 11:31 |
| #3 .....let the muslims thin out the herd Not only permitted, but celebrated. |
| Posted by: Besoeker 2014-01-06 10:37 |
| #2 Lebanon (Switzerland of the Mideast, Beirut, the Paris of the...) has been a problem for a long time. Hezbollah bombed the Marine barracks in 1983 killing 241 servicemen. They kidnapped, tortured, and murdered William F. Buckley, CIA station chief in 1984. Even before that during WWII, this area was occupied by Vichy France (allied with Nazi Germany) until the Brits went in to counter this influence. It seems the Vichy authorities in 1941 allowed Germany to move aircraft and supplies through Syria to Iraq where they were used against British forces. I often think the best mideast policy would be to let the muslims thin out the herd in their internecine conflicts such as occurred when Iraq and Iran were at war for nearly a decade rather than use this useless "Fair and balanced" buzzword diplomacy of JFK and Champ. |
| Posted by: JohnQC 2014-01-06 09:16 |
| #1 An all out war is a natural state of Lebanon. |
| Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2014-01-06 02:26 |