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Southeast Asia
Disclosure of mounting series of errors by Malaysia complicating search for MH 370
2014-03-16
SEPANG(Malaysia): The radar blip that was Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 did a wide U-turn over the Gulf of Thailand and then began moving inexorably past at least three military radar arrays as it traversed northern Malaysia, even flying high over one of the country's biggest cities before heading out over the Strait of Malacca.

Yet inside a Malaysian Air Force control room on the country's west coast, where American-made F-18s and F-5 fighters stood at a high level of readiness for emergencies exactly like the one unfolding in the early morning of March 8, a four-person air defense radar crew did nothing about the unauthorized flight. "The watch team never noticed the blip," said a person with detailed knowledge of the investigation into Flight 370. "It was as though the airspace was his."
Kermit Tyler is probably turning over in his grave, but he did a better job than that.
It was not the first and certainly not the last in a long series of errors by the Malaysian government that has made the geographically vast and technologically complex task of finding the $50 million Malaysia Airlines jet far more difficult.
... The mistakes have accumulated at a remarkable pace.

"The fact that it flew straight over Malaysia, without the Malaysian military identifying it, is just plain weird -- not just weird, but also very damning and tragic," said David Learmount, the operations and safety editor for Flightglobal, a news and data service for the aviation sector.

Senior Malaysian military officers became aware within hours of the radar data once word spread that a civilian airliner had vanished. The Malaysian government nonetheless organized and oversaw an expensive and complex international search effort in the Gulf of Thailand that lasted for a full week. Only on Saturday morning did Prime Minister Najib Razak finally shut it down.

The Malaysian air force base at the former RAF air base Butterworth sits on the mainland across from the island of Penang at the northern reaches of the Strait of Malacca. There, in the early morning hours of March 8, the four-person crew watching for intrusions into the country's airspace either did not notice or failed to report a blip on their defensive radar and air traffic radar that was moving steadily across the country from east to west, heading right toward them, said the person with knowledge of the matter.

Neither that team nor the crews at two other radar installations at Kota Bharu, closer to where the airliner last had contact with the ground, designated the blip as an unknown intruder warranting attention, the person said. The aircraft proceeded to fly across the country and out to sea without anyone on watch telling a superior and alerting the national defense command near Kuala Lumpur, even though the radar contact's flight path did not correspond to any filed flight plan.

As a result, combat aircraft never scrambled to investigate. The plane, identified at the time by Mr. Najib as Flight 370, passed directly over Penang, a largely urban state with more than 1.6 million people, then turned and headed out over the Strait of Malacca.

The existence of the radar contact was discovered only when military officials began reviewing tapes later in the morning on March 8, after the passenger jet failed to arrive in Beijing.

With so much uncertainty about the flight, it is not yet possible to know whether any actions by the Malaysian government or military could have altered its fate.
Is it just me, or would an intercept by a Malaysian military jet investigating an unknown blip flying over their country be considered a substantial alteration of "fate"?
For a week after the plane's disappearance, Malaysian law enforcement authorities said that their investigation did not include searching the home of the pilot, Zaharie Ahmad Shah.

On Saturday afternoon, the police were seen entering the gated community where Mr. Zaharie was said to have lived, and Malaysian news media reported that they had searched his home. The police declined to comment, and it is not known whether the authorities made any effort to secure Mr. Zaharie's home and prevent any destruction of evidence over the past week.
For discussion: what would happen in the USA if a flight departing JFK for Europe turned off its transponder & disappeared from radar 300 miles (or so) offshore?
Posted by:Anguper Hupomosing9418

#12  The Indian Navy maintained continuous liaison with the Operations Centres of the Royal Malaysian Navy and the Royal Malaysian Air Force so as to coordinate the ongoing search effort involving over 14 countries, 45 ships and 60 aircraft, he said.
Erratic inputs

The former Navy Chief, Admiral (retd.) Arun Prakash, criticised the effort as ‘sheer waste’ of resources. “Are the Malaysians covering up something or telling lies?” he asked, referring to the vastly varying and contradicting accounts of the missing flight given by the Malaysian government over the seven days of its loss. “First they said its last contact point was somewhere over the South China Sea. Then they said it took a south-westerly course, only to change it later to westerly course and now, a north-westerly course towards Central Asia. The inputs have been glaringly erratic. No search is worth anything if it is conducted on the basis of grossly-erring information. We should’ve got the info corroborated before embarking on the search,” he told The Hindu.
Posted by: John Frum   2014-03-16 19:33  

#11  I am betting the old "Golden Triangle" of Burma (Myanmar).

If you were a radar operator in Burma it could be a life ending event to point out an unknown plane. Esp. if it was full of heroin or gems or slaves.

A plane could land on any large runway or road there.
Posted by: 3dc   2014-03-16 17:40  

#10  Mirror article says pilot appears to have intentionally took aircraft along path that skirted FIRS [Flight Information Regions].
Posted by: Besoeker   2014-03-16 14:43  

#9  Link to #8.
Posted by: Besoeker   2014-03-16 14:22  

#8  on drudge now:
Pilot wife and children moved out day before disappearance...
Posted by: Mugsy Glink   2014-03-16 14:15  

#7  JFK to Europe; Assuming the aircraft are ETOPS certified (most are) they would never be more that 180 minutes out of range of a landing field, so if an aircraft 'went dark,' somewhere within that time it's absence would be noted. Also suspect the traffic density JFK to EU is more that the MH370 routing so a better chance of others being able to report, or at least observe.
Posted by: USN, ret.   2014-03-16 13:01  

#6  To answer the question about trans-Atlantic flight, the technology does not yet exist for tracking the flights beyond (I think) 200 miles. Limitations of radar and not having a satellite system for tracking keeps air control in the dark about flights until the radar can detect them.
Posted by: AlmostAnonymous5839   2014-03-16 12:48  

#5  sixties legs are best legs. Srsly.
Posted by: Shipman   2014-03-16 12:26  

#4  Inshallah Air Defense

Could explain how we got into and out of Abbottabad so easy.
Posted by: tu3031   2014-03-16 12:18  

#3  Interesting. If even half of this is true, I wonder if somebody did get interested, had it shot down, and is lying like rug...
Posted by: James   2014-03-16 12:10  

#2  "The watch team never noticed the blip,"

Seems a lot of that went around. And if you bite on the Pak, Central Asia rumor, a lot of people had to as well.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2014-03-16 09:43  

#1  ...This is a new concept: Inshallah Air Defense.

Mike
Posted by: Mike Kozlowski   2014-03-16 08:46  

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