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Home Front: WoT
Obama Kept Iran's Short Breakout Time a Secret
2015-04-22
by Eli Lake

[Bloomberg] The Barack B.O. regime has estimated for years that Iran was at most three months away from enriching enough nuclear fuel for an atomic bomb. But the administration only declassified this estimate at the beginning of the month, just in time for the White House to make the case for its Iran deal to Congress and the public.

Speaking to news hounds and editors at our Washington bureau on Monday, Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz acknowledged that the U.S. has assessed for several years that Iran has been two to three months away from producing enough fissile material for a nuclear weapon. When asked how long the administration has held this assessment, Moniz said: "Oh quite some time." He added: "They are now, they are right now spinning, I mean enriching with 9,400 centrifuges out of their roughly 19,000. Plus all the . . . . R&D work. If you put that together it's very, very little time to go forward. That's the 2-3 months."

Brian Hale, a front man for the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, confirmed to me Monday that the two-to-three-month estimate for fissile material was declassified on April 1.

Here is the puzzling thing: When Obama began his second term in 2013, he sang a different tune. He emphasized that Iran was more than a year away from a nuclear bomb, without mentioning that his intelligence community believed it was only two to three months away from making enough fuel for one, long considered the most challenging task in building a weapon. Today Obama emphasizes that Iran is only two to three months away from acquiring enough fuel for a bomb, creating a sense of urgency for his Iran agreement.
Posted by:trailing wife

#8  Is it the last season's S-300 sale advertised over at Weasel Zippers?
Posted by: swksvolFF   2015-04-22 18:35  

#7  Two to three months was it? About the same time the Russians have indicated they need to make their S-300's Air Defense Missiles in Iran fully operational.

Probably just a coincidence. Anything else would be purely conspiratorial.
Posted by: Besoeker   2015-04-22 10:42  

#6  Not to worry - I'm sure Jawn Kerry and Company have reserved 4-months for new negotiations.
Posted by: Hupineger Glomomp52169   2015-04-22 09:10  

#5  If you're estimating that something is 3 months away for years ... doesn't that mean your estimate is a little bit off?

Does it mean that Iran has gotten themselves to a point where they just need to say "go" and *then* it takes 3 months to have a bomb, but they are just waiting to say "go" for a while now?
Posted by: ExtremeModerate   2015-04-22 08:46  

#4  Mystic, why would you wonder?

It is demonstrable fact that we've been gaslighted by this regime since day one on everything.
Posted by: AlanC   2015-04-22 08:04  

#3  Iran still sezzes - NO LIFTING OF ANY + ALL TRADE SANCTIONS = NO NUKULAAR DEAL.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2015-04-22 02:53  

#2  So strike up another case of Bibi being in the "I told you so" category with the US Administration.

As an aside:

What is this administration NOT lying about.

Geez, I sometimes wonder if we aren't being "Gaslighted" on everything for the last nine years.
Posted by: Mystic   2015-04-22 01:18  

#1  Champ regime now shamelessly using Bibi Iran timeline graphic.
Posted by: Besoeker   2015-04-22 00:44  

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