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| Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
| What can Iran gain by having a nuclear weapons program that threatens to destabilize security in the Middle East? |
| 2015-07-18 |
| [Royal Danish Defense College] Why is Iran following a nuclear path that may further destabilise the fragile security situation in the Middle East? In a new paper from the Royal Danish Defence College, Iran's nuclear aspiration to destabilise power in the Middle East is analysed. 16-06-2015 - kl. 13:13 Iran is purportedly attempting to develop a nuclear energy program, and perhaps even a nuclear weapons program, despite assurances of the opposite. An Iranian nuclear weapon would be a game changer in the region and a lot of neighbouring countries fear such a development for security reasons. But why is Iran following a nuclear path that may further destabilise the fragile security situation in the Middle East? In a new paper from the Royal Danish Defence College, Iran's nuclear aspiration to destabilise power in the Middle East is analysed. According to the author Major Thomas G. Nielsen it has to do with Iran's own perception of security risks, its desire for greatness in the region, and domestic challenges, caused in part by United Nations' sanctions, lack of development and internal political power struggles. Iran balances cleverly on the edge of either further international isolation or becoming a significant local power. It uses the threat of developing nuclear weapons, in combination with its important strategic location by the Strait of Hormuz, and supports various political group-ings in and around Syria and Iraq to attract the attention of the United States of American in an at-tempt to become recognised as the most important player in the Middle East. Should Iran succeed in its brinkmanship and the outcome could be the lifting of the UN sanctions, in-ternational recognition, improved security, and even a possible end to internal political power struggles due to likely economic reforms post-sanctions. Much is at stake for Iran, but, if it succeeds, it could shift the political path in Iran to a less confrontational one, which, in the long run, could enhance security in the region. This would, however, be at the cost of recognising Iran as a true power in the Middle East and ending the sanctions regime in order to support Iranian development. The closing paragraph appears to reflect the Obama regime goals and strategy. Download the paper for free |
| Posted by:Besoeker |
| #8 If the police in your neighborhood stopped policing I think it would be wise to get the biggest gun possible so if they never return to policing then you are safe. If they do return then you can out gun them. Obama will not face a non-American threat to his power. He has backed out of the Middle East and support of Israel. He has welcomed the previous enemies of Iran and Cuba to accept his surrender. Iran is just taking full advantage of the worlds police force not policing. Obamaites have done the same in Detroit, Baltimore.... |
| Posted by: Airandee 2015-07-18 15:54 |
| #7 It is an old power game. You get a big I mean BIG club (nuke) and you intimidate, demanding respect. Local neighbors cower in fear. You interpret that as respect. So you go after your neighbors and you meet one that is not intimidated, so you go into a hissy fit, and you launch a nuke, and then your whole country turns into a glass Roentgen soupbowl and that is the end of your reign, and your people so excited about your nukes. And, ugly as that scenario is, problem solved itself. |
| Posted by: Alaska Paul 2015-07-18 14:08 |
| #6 It's the "rational actor" mentality. It sort of worked during the Cold War. Not so much in the 1930s. |
| Posted by: Pappy 2015-07-18 13:47 |
| #5 trying to wake that hobo in the well |
| Posted by: Frank G 2015-07-18 13:28 |
| #4 Why do they think Iran gives a shit about "stability"? |
| Posted by: charger 2015-07-18 13:15 |
| #3 I've said it before: Wishful thinking is a piss poor strategy. But especially when they tell us over and over again that they want us dead, it might be wise to take them at their word. |
| Posted by: Abu Uluque 2015-07-18 12:37 |
| #2 I think Iran was clear when they said they wanted to nuke Israel and bring back some holy monkey they've been waiting for. I'm paraphrasing, I don't remember the Shia details. |
| Posted by: rjschwarz 2015-07-18 09:28 |
| #1 Maybe it just want's some nukes to throw at the Sunis and Israel for like good times? You know Allahu Akbar! Yeah! Maybe fill an old freighter with some nukes and cruise down the US East Coast with scuba gear... You know Death to America - Allahu Akbar! It doesn't need to be formal Western advantage ideas... |
| Posted by: 3dc 2015-07-18 00:38 |