You have commented 339 times on Rantburg.

Your Name
Your e-mail (optional)
Website (optional)
My Original Nic        Pic-a-Nic        Sorry. Comments have been closed on this article.
Bold Italic Underline Strike Bullet Blockquote Small Big Link Squish Foto Photo
Economy
Oil market to face lack of supply in 3 years: Total CEO
2016-04-29
Nurse -- hurry! He's doing that thing again!
[AA.TR] The global oil market will face a lack of supply in three years' time due to expenditure cuts and postponements in mega projects, Patrick Pouyanne, chairman of the Board and CEO of French oil giant Total said Wednesday.

Speaking at 2016 Columbia Global Energy Summit, Pouyanne talked about the difficulties that oil companies are facing under low oil prices.

"Fifteen days after I became the CEO of Total, oil prices collapsed ... and we lost $10 billion in cash flows in two months," he said.

"Due to the huge drop in oil prices, most of the players had to squeeze their cash flows and investments," he added.

Because of oversupply and low global demand, oil prices fell from $115 a barrel in June 2014 to below $30 a barrel in January 2016, marking a 75 percent decline.
WTI crude is $38.46 today, and gas in Chicago is up a buck from the low: now $2.49. So Pouyanne may make his bonus after all...
The CEO noted that total spending in the oil industry also fell gradually during that time -- from $700 billion in 2014, to $500 billion in 2015, and an expected $400 billion for this year.

"Because of less investment in shale oil and in major fields around the world, we will see a supply level this year ... In this industry, if you don't invest, you will have a natural decline in production," he added.

"In the oil business, only two major projects were sanctioned worldwide in 2015 -- one in Norway and one in the U.S.' Gulf of Mexico. It's clearly insufficient ... We will not see immediate impact now of these expenditure cuts, but in 3 or 4 years we will see their impact," he explained.
Posted by:Fred

#3  We're in the middle of a huge layoff. My job ends in 9 weeks. We've released all our rigs but a few long-contract deep water drillships. The decline curves on our existing wells are quite steep, and continual drilling is essential to maintaining supply. To a greater or lesser degree the same pattern occurs everywhere. So far a lot of the smaller companies have continued to drill, out of desperation, because they lose leases and default on loans if their production revenue drops, but they're running out of money and borrowing power, as are many of the banks that serve them. This is the same cycle of boom and bust that has ruled the oil patch forever. We never learn.
Posted by: Glenmore   2016-04-29 10:47  

#2  The gulf is basically dead. Virtually every rig has been stacked and the service companies have cut people to the point of starvation.
Posted by: Silentbrick   2016-04-29 10:39  

#1  Sounds about right, give or take a year.
Posted by: Glenmore   2016-04-29 10:18  

00:00