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| Rush Limbaugh's midterms prediction: GOP keeps House and Senate, and exposes bogus polls |
| 2018-10-19 |
| [Wash Times] Radio host Rush Limbaugh is confident that the unreliability of political polling will be highlighted once again once the midterm election results roll in. A preview for "El Rushbo’s" Thursday interview with Fox News’ Sean Hannity offers a prediction from the famous conservative: Republicans will hold onto the House and Senate in large part because of political developments over the past month. The radio host noted the confirmation process of U.S. Supreme Court Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh as a key motivator for Republicans. "The Democrat Party deserves to lose in the single biggest landslide defeat in my lifetime just for the actions they’ve taken in the last month," he said in promotional material shared by Fox News Insider. Mr. Limbaugh said that he doesn’t have survey data to back up his claims but instead is relying on historical instances where professional pollsters wound up looking clueless. |
| Posted by:Besoeker |
| #7 On the bright side, if the Dems end up with a razor thin majority in the house, the Senate being solid republican will stop them from doing anything major in terms of legislation. Senate will still hold the aces: judges, and ultimate stopping power of anything the Dems sen over to them. So what will the Dems do with Pelosi in charge of the house again? Try to impeach Trump? Try to impeach Kavanaugh? Senate would hold the trials, and they'd have enough defectors to where they couldn't pass the articles of impeachment anyway. And if the government gets shut down, this isnt your old spineless GOP - Trump will pull a Reagan and bypass the press and lay the blame loudly and squarely on Pelosi and the obstructionist Democrats. So if they win - they lose because they will never be radical enough for their hard left party, who will get pissed off in 2020, they will be played by Trump as "Do Nothing Democrats" setting them up for his fall-guy for the campaign in 2020, making Pelosi and the hard left a oat anchor for whoever the Dems nominate. Id rather the GOP keep the house, but if they don't, its likely to work out OK for 2020. |
| Posted by: Boss Spoper5850 2018-10-19 15:17 |
| #6 Every state-wide or local poll shows Republicans ahead. National polls show Democrats ahead. Now why would any pollster show a national poll in a midterm except to deceive folks regarding popular vote totals. |
| Posted by: rjschwarz 2018-10-19 13:54 |
| #5 We never participate in polling of any kind, and we are highly conservative voters. I suspect a disproportionate number of conservatives are as zealously private about their opinions. I think this attitude plus the squishy independants who say what they think makes the pollster happy on the leading style question explains 5-7% inherent polling error. |
| Posted by: NoMoreBS 2018-10-19 12:45 |
| #4 I still am keeping with my original prediction that the pubs will pick up 2-3 seats in the Senate. The house will be kept by a handful of seats or lost by a handful of seats. Either way the house will pretty much be in deadlock for the next two years. |
| Posted by: DarthVader 2018-10-19 10:59 |
| #3 ...but instead is relying on historical instances where professional pollsters wound up looking clueless. Just look at 2016 - Brexit and Trump's campaign were both 'missed' by the pollsters by a combination of a) oversampling Europhiles / Londoners and Democrats and b) ignoring / downplaying the other side. Bookmakers and betting sites give a more accurate picture than these assholes. After those two polling 'fiascoes' (their excuse), there's no doubt in my mind that stuff was deliberate and will be again. |
| Posted by: Raj 2018-10-19 10:38 |
| #2 Like the media, the pollsters - polltroons? - never get called out for just making stuff up. But then polling outfits, lamestream media and lackademia are all joined at the hip. |
| Posted by: M. Murcek 2018-10-19 07:13 |
| #1 Hope Limbaugh is correct about the Pubs holding both Houses and Trump continues on with the D.S. cleanup and cleanout. |
| Posted by: JohnQC 2018-10-19 06:15 |