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-Signs, Portents, and the Weather- |
Modeling the US Reaction to the Coronavirus |
2020-03-24 |
[GeopoliticaFutures] The United States is under enormous pressure. The nature of the particular pressure is unique, though pressure on the United States from various forces is normal, as it is with other nations. What makes this pressure unique, aside from its biological origin, is that it has been so intense that virtually all systems are seeking to cope with the problem, both in defining and responding to it. This is largely true of all countries, but each responds to it differently, based on their institutional and cultural frameworks that existed before the coronavirus (aka COVID19 or Chinese Plague)![]() outbreak. Much of what we say about the virus is universal, and there are commonalities in the response, but ultimately each nation's response must be understood on its own terms. Understanding the model allows us to understand events, stresses, failures and successes. At the moment, there are four distinct systems operating in the United States: the medical, the economic, the social and the geopolitical. Controlling these, and in turn being controlled by them, is the political structure. This obviously includes the president, on whom attention is always focused, but let's not forget the rest of the executive branch and the vast and distinct bureaucracies operating within it, the judiciary, the Congress, and every state government. Already we have seen that, in times of crisis, the individual states are the most decisive actors in the short run. |
Posted by:charger |