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Science & Technology |
We Are 100 Times Safer Now Than In Early March: Here is the Math |
2020-04-13 |
h/t Instapundit [YahooNews] - I started wearing disposable gloves and a mask in early March. Almost everyone was looking at me as if I was some kind of a freak. Today, I don’t wear a mask when I go out and people are looking at me as if I am an idiot. Very interesting maths & graphs |
Posted by:g(r)omgoru |
#1 Yes, indeed, and very transparent - open source. But it also has assumptions, like a 1% transmission rate, which are central to the analysis. The probability of catching COVID-19 in New York City today is probably 100 times smaller than the probability of catching it a month ago. Yet, most people are 100 times more concerned about getting infected now than they were a month ago. I think that is the problem in a nutshell. |
Posted by: Bobby 2020-04-13 14:11 |