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| -Signs, Portents, and the Weather- |
| Scientists walk back prediction that US could be coronavirus-free by fall |
| 2020-05-24 |
| [NYP] The US could finally be free of the coronavirus in late September, and the whole world can expect to put the pandemic behind them in December, say scientists in Singapore. The rosy forecasts are from the Singapore University of Technology and Design, where researchers are using artificial intelligence to continually update their charting of the pandemic’s "life cycle" by country. At the end of April, predictions showed that the US would be virus-free by Sept. 20 and the UK could see the end of the coronavirus by Aug. 27, Metro.co.uk reported Saturday. But the group has since taken down its country-by-country charts from its website — instead posting a disclaimer that the research was strictly for educational purposes and may contain errors. Scientists at the university caution that their results are continually evolving and inexact— and that the predictions should not lead to hasty ends of lockdowns around the world. "Over-optimism based on some predicted end dates is dangerous because it may loosen our disciplines and controls and cause the turnaround of the virus," they said. |
| Posted by:Besoeker |
| #14 If Jerk Dorksey, Mark Suckerpurge or Susas Wog-chicki don't want you to hear it, you probably won't. |
| Posted by: M. Murcek 2020-05-24 15:04 |
| #13 In the 21st century science = whatever they are paid to say. |
| Posted by: M. Murcek 2020-05-24 15:00 |
| #12 The ratio of deaths to cases (as reported for the US) has been pretty constant at about 6:100 over the past two months. |
| Posted by: Glenmore 2020-05-24 12:58 |
| #11 It will never go away. So your rights must go away now. Because it's just starting. As Frank Booth said "F*ck that sh*t. Pabst Blue Ribbon!" |
| Posted by: M. Murcek 2020-05-24 12:14 |
| #10 And now the CDC estimates the Infection Fatality Rate to be -- surprise surprise -- almost exactly what Dr. Ioannidis estimated it to be ... on March 17: 0.4% overall or adjusted even lower to 0.26% when one considers the CDC's own estimate that 35% of cases are asymptomatic. Ioannidis concluded this -- and anybody else looking at the CDC's Diamond Princess cruiseship data would've come to the same conclusion -- months ago. He was ignored. Instead, our policymakers imposed this ridiculous lockdown based on the WHO model's 3.4% IFR -- 10 times greater than what the actual, empirical data showed. |
| Posted by: Lex 2020-05-24 12:04 |
| #9 Academics (as distinct from scientists - of whom not many left) have a tendency to jump on a bandwagon. |
| Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2020-05-24 11:51 |
| #8 This was never science. The idea that any place would be 'virus free' is ludicrous on its face. This thing will be with us for the foreseeable future, even if there is a vaccine. |
| Posted by: Iblis 2020-05-24 11:46 |
| #7 Scientific understanding is supposed to evolve as new data comes in. This action means they finally have come to understand that their models are fatally flawed in ways they do not yet understand, their artificial intelligence clearly not being smart enough to get the job done. No doubt once they succeed in predicting the past they’ll start posting actual predictions of the future again. |
| Posted by: trailing wife 2020-05-24 11:37 |
| #6 "...Sir , 90 percent of everything is crap . " |
| Posted by: Thaith Elmeresing6163 2020-05-24 11:30 |
| #5 /\ Tell me about it! |
| Posted by: Clem 2020-05-24 10:47 |
| #4 I've had enough of my 'listen to the science' quota for a couple of lifetimes by now. |
| Posted by: Raj 2020-05-24 10:41 |
| #3 ^Look up Sturgeon Law. |
| Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2020-05-24 10:40 |
| #2 O.k., so do we "listen to the science" or not? |
| Posted by: Clem 2020-05-24 10:38 |
| #1 Words fail. |
| Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2020-05-24 10:18 |