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-Signs, Portents, and the Weather-

Stanford doctor: Coronavirus fatality rate for people under 45 'almost 0%'

2020-07-08

[WashingtonExaminer] Stanford University's disease prevention chairman slammed using statewide lockdown measures as a response to the coronavirus, saying they were implemented based on bad data and inaccurate modeling.

“There are already more than 50 studies that have presented results on how many people in different countries and locations have developed antibodies to the virus,” Dr. John Ioannidis said during a recent interview with Greek Reporter. “Of course, none of these studies are perfect, but cumulatively, they provide useful composite evidence. A very crude estimate might suggest that about 150-300 million or more people have already been infected around the world, far more than the 10 million documented cases.”

Ioannidis pointed out the mortality rate is low among young people who have contracted the virus.

“The death rate in a given country depends a lot on the age structure, who are the people infected, and how they are managed,” Ioannidis said. “For people younger than 45, the infection fatality rate is almost 0%. For 45 to 70, it is probably about 0.05%-0.3%. For those above 70, it escalates substantially.”

Since the pandemic began in February, more than 2.6 million people in the United States have contracted the virus, and 128,000 have died.

Several states have seen spikes in cases, especially in the southeastern part of the country, where lockdown measures were lifted earlier than in other states.

The mortality rate nationwide appears to be tapering, however, a trend U.S. health officials attribute to a younger age bracket in terms of infection. The national single-day death rate from the virus fell to a three-month low last month. Additionally, Massachusetts reported zero new deaths from the coronavirus on Tuesday for the first time since March.

Posted by:Bright Pebbles

#8 ^Yea, well, it's not out of control yet. And, at least some Republicans - like the Texas Gov, are beginning to take it seriously.

Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2020-07-08 16:12

#7 Indeed. This is what happened in Italy. The Italian lockdown was painful, but now they only have about 150 new infections per day.

Infections in the U.S. are out of control. The worst is yet to come. And Americans are still debating masks in crowded spaces? Seriously?

Posted by: European Conservative 2020-07-08 15:59

#6 Deaths aren't everything.

Deaths will be bad enough, once the treatment capacity is overwhelmed.

But, I suspect that death/debilitation of somebody they know is the only way they'll learn that CV19 is real - not another Democratic stratagem like AGW.

Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2020-07-08 15:00

#5 Deaths aren't everything. We still don't know what this virus will do in the future, and yes with young people. Don't bank on immunity. Survivors may suffer permanent lung damages (and other things), and the virus may come back and hit them harder.

With all respect, the U.S. is going down a very dangerous path with its cavalier approach.

Germany has 6800 active cases now, the U.S. 1.6 million. Fall in the U.S. will be brutal.

Posted by: European Conservative 2020-07-08 14:17

#4 The economy is "resting" thanks to faulty predictions of medics which led to the lockdown mistake.

Posted by: Bright Pebbles 2020-07-08 10:26

#3 ^Rest in peace

Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2020-07-08 07:46

#2 Give it a fuckin' rest...

Posted by: Raj 2020-07-08 07:02

#1 The famous Ioannidis. Man who build his academic career on attacking other peoples work. And, the very first time he actually did some work himself, was caught faking results. A fitting scientific authority figure for "covid is just a flue" community.

Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2020-07-08 06:55

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