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| Helmut Norpoth's Election Model Shows 91% Chance Trump Will Be Victorious with 362 Electoral Votes! |
| 2020-11-03 |
| [Gateway] Helmut Norpoth from Stony Brook University released his final predictions for the 2020 election. Norpoth correctly predicted President Trump’s historic win in 2016. This year he gives President Trump a 91% chance of winning. And Helmut Norpoth predicts President Trump will win with 362 electoral votes. |
| Posted by:Besoeker |
| #8 Best guide to presidential race is the real-time summary of the battleground states' results here Biggest bellwether of the impending Trump victory: Biden's underperformance in Miami-Dade and Broward counties. He's down from Hillary's 2016 victory by about ten points in each. The big story is that Trump has broken the Democrats' lock on Hispanic and black voters. |
| Posted by: Kofi Spawn of the Munchkins7276 2020-11-03 22:39 |
| #7 Racist Al Sharpton is criticizing Florida's Cuban voters... |
| Posted by: Ebbomoger Speaking for Boskone4589 2020-11-03 22:39 |
| #6 Looks like Texas (39 electoral) and Florida (29 electoral) is going to Trump. Virginia has been called for Biden but I show Trump is ahead. |
| Posted by: Ebbomoger Speaking for Boskone4589 2020-11-03 22:06 |
| #5 PJ Media is tracking results here Preliminary numbers thus far, based on incomplete returns: Electoral College delegates: Biden: 115 22,460,439 votes (49%) Trump: 120 23,176,060 votes (50%) 270 to win Senate Democrats: 41 Republicans: 38 51 for majority House Democrats: 47 Republicans: 82 218 for majority They are also live blogging here. There are plenty of other sites as well, no doubt, like Real Clear Politics. And no doubt news aggregators like Bongino Report, Rantingly, and that other one whose name I can never remember are actively collecting information as it is being published. |
| Posted by: trailing wife 2020-11-03 21:25 |
| #4 278 for POTUS. Sweeps Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio. Splits AZ and NC; gets one out of MI, WI, MN. |
| Posted by: Slats Borgia1392 2020-11-03 20:23 |
| #3 I guess Wyoming is not in play then? |
| Posted by: European Conservative 2020-11-03 18:29 |
| #2 Fingers crossed, but DON'T GET COCKY! |
| Posted by: Barbara 2020-11-03 17:19 |
| #1 My prediction is 307! Cast your bets! |
| Posted by: 49 Pan 2020-11-03 10:52 |