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Economy
Last Q of Trumponomics, up 4% annualized
2021-01-29
[Yahoo] The U.S. economy expanded in the final three months of 2020, albeit with slowing growth as the pandemic tore across the country at an alarming clip at the end of the year.

The Commerce Department's first estimate on fourth-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) was released Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here were the main results in the report, compared to Bloomberg consensus data:

4Q GDP, annualized Q/Q: 4.0% vs. 4.2% expected, 33.4% in 3Q

4Q Personal consumption: 2.5% vs. 3.1% expected, 41.0% in 3Q

4Q Core personal consumption expenditures: 1.4% vs. 1.2% expected, 3.4% in 3Q

Economic activity was expected to slow significantly from the third quarter's 33.4% annualized increase, in large part due to a natural moderation after the record surge. The soaring third-quarter growth had followed a record drop of 31.4% in the second quarter, which reflected the impact of early pandemic lockdowns in spring 2020. Overall, GDP remained below pre-pandemic levels from the fourth quarter of 2019.
What do we think Q1 of 2021 will be? My estimate, Over/under +1.5%
Posted by:Lord Garth

#2  the late Dec stimulus checks and the other expenditures in that action will result in a boost to Jan-March sales so I'm pretty sure the 1st Q will be positive

another similar stimulus in Feb is also possible

the adverse effects of the Biden actions on permits probably won't show until March or so

Posted by: Lord Garth   2021-01-29 14:48  

#1  -.173% Bankruptcies beginning, foreclosure soon, regime just killed 80-100K jobs directly in just a week in office, estimate of over 335K jobs indirect, over $100 Billion sucked out of the market just today (remember the markets never sleep they are global and after market close venues)

Posted by: Goober Whomort2012   2021-01-29 00:34  

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