"Hmpf! Imagine asking us. That chung shiao Chu."
"What a drag."
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| China-Japan-Koreas |
| China's coming Demographic collapse |
| 2021-03-25 |
| [NationalInterest] China this century is on track to experience history’s most dramatic demographic collapse in the absence of war or disease. Today, the country has a population more than four times larger than America’s. By 2100, the U.S. will probably have more people than China. True, Beijing scrapped the notorious one-child policy, perhaps history’s most ambitious social-engineering project, as of the beginning of 2016 and there was a spurt of births that year, but since then births have fallen every year. "Meet your new 4 yr old bride" Beijing has not announced births for last year, but early numbers indicate they plummeted from 2019. Births in the household registration—hukou—system plunged 14.9% to 10,035,000 last year. Because births so registered constitute about 80% of total births, He Yafu, a demographer, estimates total births for the country last year came in at 12,540,000. Yi told me that the number of births for the country was in reality about 8 million and could not have exceeded 10 million. Again, Yi looks correct. Provinces and other governmental units have reported data ahead of the census, and births were down more than 30% in some locations. The big issue is China’s trajectory. Official media is cagey about a critical figure, the country’s total fertility rate, generally the number of children per female reaching child-bearing age. The official China Daily reports that Lu Jiehua of Peking University believes the country’s TFR, as the rate is known, “has fallen below 1.7.” Lu is certainly right about that. The University of Wisconsin’s Yi told TNI that China’s TFR last year was 0.90 and could not have exceeded 1.1. Yi’s estimate is on the low end but is consistent with China Daily’s reporting of 1.05 in 2015. China now has a crisis. “Once it slips below 1.5, a country falls into the trap of low fertility and is unlikely to recover,” said He Yafu to the Communist Party’s Global Times. China is already well below that figure. Beijing does not believe China’s population will begin to decline until 2028. Some believe it in fact began contracting in 2018, something evident by falling births. |
| Posted by:ruprecht |
| #12 Declines are worldwide except I believe in Muslim areas. Gates sterility vaccine will have consequences. Democrats abortion industry will also reduce numbers as well. liberals are not having children. So they must import to survive but only temporarily. You are seeing liberal upper education suffering now. No new blood. Soon the money will have no value. Soon the new much deadlier covid is on the rise and again lock downs will be imposed as in Germany now. So the Democrat solutions will solve nothing as usual. The critical thinker will see thru the garbage and adapt. They pay the Democrats no mind and simply work around their obstructions. The Democrats plans always never fix anything but only cost more to sustain. I think of them as a bunch of noise. |
| Posted by: Dale 2021-03-25 14:50 |
| #11 By 2100, the U.S. will probably have more people than China. I do believe that is the aim of Democrats. That's why they want unlimited immigration. They want the power that would come from controlling that many people the way the CCP does. |
| Posted by: Abu Uluque 2021-03-25 13:24 |
| #10 Nothing a few massive bride-snatching raids along the borders of the Middle Kingdom couldn't fix in a few years. People all over the world have genes inherited from Genghiz Khan. |
| Posted by: Bubba Lover of the Faeries8843 2021-03-25 13:19 |
| #9 Send all those boys to the same country (say Taiwan) and eventually you'll own that country if your boys avoid conversion into local thought. |
| Posted by: rjschwarz 2021-03-25 11:58 |
| #8 Makes me wonder why there are any females allowed to leave China. I should think they'd just send their extra boys out into the world with orders that if they don't bring back an acceptable bride they need not return. |
| Posted by: rjschwarz 2021-03-25 11:57 |
| #7 ^ emigration solved that problem. Amerikay, the colonies.. |
| Posted by: Blinky Ulusoth2426 2021-03-25 10:55 |
| #6 The "Age of Rifles" in the 19th Century where advances in medicine and technology meant European countries had a surplus of unemployed young and unmarried males.... |
| Posted by: magpie 2021-03-25 10:42 |
| #5 I heard the Central Asians had a higher birth rate. Might be a contributing factor in their postnatal Planned Parenthood program now going on in the region. |
| Posted by: Procopius2k 2021-03-25 07:21 |
| #4 "Me load that artillery? I don't even oil my chair." "Hmpf! Imagine asking us. That chung shiao Chu." "What a drag." |
| Posted by: Dron66046 2021-03-25 01:30 |
| #3 ^The key word is "young", Ou roineck |
| Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2021-03-25 01:26 |
| #2 /\ I recommend a 'culling' virus laboratory engineered for the clinically obese, elderly and chronically ill. |
| Posted by: Besoeker 2021-03-25 01:18 |
| #1 When a society has a surplus of young, unmated males - it, usually, goes to war. |
| Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2021-03-25 00:25 |