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-Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
Covid: Number #1 with a C-19 Bullet
2021-07-31
We're #1 this week

COVID-19 Coronavirus
(Last updated: July 30, 2021, 09:29 GMT)

Cases in the last 7 days: 502,465

Cases in the previous 7 days: 325,876

Weekly Infection Increase or Decrease in Cases: +54%

Cases last 7days / 1M Pop: 1,509
Current Odds of Infection: 0.1508 of 1%

Death in the last 7 days: 2,118
Odds of dying in the last 7 days in the USA, IF, infected : 0.0006 of 1%

Deaths in the previous 7 days: 1,842

Weekly Death % change: +15%

Figures Base on the USA Population of : 333,087,850
Source: WorldOMeters Covid-19


Calculator to Predict COVID-19
Researchers at the Cleveland Clinic developed this calculator using data from nearly 12,000 patients enrolled in their COVID-19 registry. It's meant to be used by healthcare providers to predict a patient's likelihood of testing positive for COVID-19.
C-19-Risk "riskcalc.org/COVID19/"

Use this with CDC odds of dying below for interesting am I screwed data.

CDC CITED ODDS OF INFECTION BY COVID-19
Note: All rates are relative to the 18- to 29-year-old age category. This group was selected as the reference group because it has accounted for the largest cumulative number of COVID-19 cases compared to other age groups.

Sample interpretation: Compared with 18- to 29-year-olds, the rate of death is four times higher in 30- to 39-year-olds, and 600 times higher in those who are 85 years and older. (In the table, a rate of 1x indicates no difference compared to the 18- to 29-year-old age category.)

Deaths by Age of the COVID-19
as accessed on July 12, 2021
0-4 years old = <1x (public school age)
5-17 years old = <1x(public school age)
18-29 years old Ref. Grp
30-39 years old = 4x
40-49 years old = 10x
50-64 years old = 35x
65-74 years old = 95x
75-84 years old = 230x


#1 USA STATE FOR INFECTIONS
California Active Cases : 1,782,496 or 99,850 per 1M Pop
Hardest hit: Los Angeles and also #1 for Illegal aliens
Odd of infection: About 17.85% or about 1 in 5.6 odds.

Interesting Side Notes:
* Active Cases in California peaked the week Biden Admin took office and have remained above 1,640,000+ range per week ever since. Open borders maybe?

* Virginia and Maryland states which surround Washington DC are #2 and #3 for active cases.
Posted by:NN2N1

#10  COVID-19 sounds so clinical. Let's just call it "Fauci's Disease".

I would call this a Snark of the Day but its an excellent idea - no snark.
Posted by: CrazyFool   2021-07-31 16:59  

#9  Thanks JohnQC, good additional data.

Totally agree with the part of the comment on too much hype and politics being applied to this problem.

It has by hook or by crook design generated a Massive Negative or at the least a very suspicious distrustful group for anything the Politicians purpose or demand.
Posted by: NN2N1   2021-07-31 16:49  

#8  COVID-19 sounds so clinical. Let's just call it "Fauci's Disease".
Posted by: Matt   2021-07-31 11:24  

#7  /\ Yes, and obviously internally published and distributed. Little effort is employed to rephrase the talking points. They are simply parroted verbatim.
Posted by: Besoeker   2021-07-31 10:08  

#6  Remember, their 'misinformation' is approved by the Party organs and media distribution systems.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2021-07-31 10:05  

#5  /\ We need to live our lives without all the hysteria and misinformation coming out Washington, D.C. and other places.

Absolutely spot on, but how can the devious, elitist, betraying foks in Washington survive and continue their mischief without the cover of endless wars, "hysteria and misinformation?"

Posted by: Besoeker   2021-07-31 09:20  

#4  Use this with CDC odds of dying below for interesting am I screwed data.

NN2N1, I just picked an age group in an effort to cheat the grim reaper. I am currently in the 18-29 reference group. My odds are pretty good.

I did some rough calculations that would probably make an epidemiologist's hair stand on end.

There are about 164 million fully vaccinated citizens. The number of breakthrough cases in this group is about 112,000 (these numbers change daily). I get about 0.0007 or about 0.07% of the population of fully vaccinated people. The Pfizer and Moderna vaccines are about 95% effective. That would suggest that as much as 5% of the population might experience a breakthrough case of the disease. Some of these cases have occurred during the 2 week period after full vaccination before full effectiveness is achieved. Some of these cases occur with older people with 2 or more co-morbidities; in other words, people with compromised immune systems. There will be a few flukes within the breakthrough cases

I was just looking at gross numbers and did not look at adverse effect of the vaccines that are being reported. Some of this might be embedded in the gross breakthrough case numbers.

Many have come to expect that we will be protected from everything with no risks. We need to live our lives without all the hysteria and misinformation coming out Washington, D.C. and other places.
Posted by: JohnQC   2021-07-31 09:16  

#3  A dose of COVID reality: Only 6,587 out of 164M fully-vaxxed Americans are hospitalized or die from 'breakthrough' cases
Posted by: Skidmark   2021-07-31 08:59  

#2  WH condemns WaPo, NYT for 'completely irresponsible' tweets hyping COVID spread among vaccinated
Posted by: Skidmark   2021-07-31 08:08  

#1  Added Notes:

Over 58% of USA citizens are now vaccinated.

According to which CDC press release you read.
It seems the Vaccinated only have 6 to 8 month declining immunity window.

No data on the effectiveness of the vaccine regarding "D" variant.

ICE Data show 32% of the estimated 1 million Illegal Border crosses are were not caught and were successful. (320K new mouths)

Fed's & Media tells us that a vast Majority of these Illegals have not been vaccinated.

FEMA said back in the spring of 2021 BEFORE Covid-D fully arrived, that 6% of Undocumented persons were found infected.

Various Gov. source puts the July 2021 number of infected at 1+ in 12 to 3+ in 10 depending on the captured group date. Official data to available sometime in mid to late August.

IMPACT ON ICE/CBP staff
As of July 2021. Over 8,900 Customs Border Patrol employees have tested positive for COVID-19, and 33 died from exposure.
Posted by: NN2N1   2021-07-31 06:55  

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