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| Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia |
| Institute for the Studay of War - Putin's Potential Course of Action in the Eukraine |
| 2022-01-30 |
| Comments from an old friend and former Intelligence Threat Analysis Center (ITAC) hand. This is a good analysis of the possible Russian courses of action against Ukraine. The Russians are constrained by certain natural and political factors. They need the ground to be frozen to facilitate mechanized operations. This will last until early march, thereafter, as the Germans discovered the spring thaw turns everything into a sea of mud. Putin is not likely to disrupt China’s Genocide Games which will end on 20 Feb and which Putin will be attending. For those of you who were in Germay with me, you will notice our old friends, the 8th Guards Combined Army (the heroes of Stalingrad) would carry the ball if the Russians attacked into the Donbass of eastern Ukraine. |
| Posted by:Besoeker |
| #4 HAH! 2008 summer Olympics opening day in China. |
| Posted by: jefe101 2022-01-30 13:29 |
| #3 Agreed, it's time for the U.S. to mind it's own business and handle some stuff at home for once. |
| Posted by: Chris 2022-01-30 09:45 |
| #2 /\ Remember, Russia is on the defense, on its own ground. Yes, for right now anyway. "Historically"....? Who bothers to reference or research history ? My opinion means nothing of course, but I still recommend we stay out of it. |
| Posted by: Besoeker 2022-01-30 06:34 |
| #1 Historically, only the Germans needed frozen ground for mobile operations. Remember, Russia is on the defense, on its own ground. They are not going to give in to hysteria, but they will defend Russian soil with everything they have, if needed. |
| Posted by: badanov 2022-01-30 06:27 |