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| The state of play in Ukraine over the last ten days by commenter KCK | ||
| 2022-03-04 | ||
Let’s talk about tanks, in a non-political and non-ideological manner. They’ve been described as anachronisms, and yet here we are, baby. Tanks OTA and when you follow the crowd-sourced maps, you look for the tanks to tell you where the front is. American armor units describe themselves as "the combat arm of decision". Fukn A. Tanks have the formal state as follows: they move, shoot, and communicate, and they provide protection. The art of the tank goes as follows: never stop. When do we stop? Never! Can we stop right here? No! How about a pause at the next...Nope!! So, clearly, the Russians are off plot a bit and are suffering delays. Opinions vary among war news followers from Ukraine the lion-hearted, and at the other poles we have: Putin’s just doing what he’s gotta and the really interesting opinion called: Fake War. Good to have a clear eye, and not be overly optimistic or pessimistic for your side. This YouTuber has what I think is the perfect amount of pessimism and it’s because he’s an infantry enlisted man veteran. He can’t afford bullshit. Watch his update here: His assessment is that the pregnant pauses are refueling and rearmament ops, and he’s probably completely right. I’d add they are also cluster fux and command failures because you’re bound to have that and there are Ivans with contraband cell phones uploading vids of how they’ve been abandoned by higher ups and completely forgotten, and elsewhere you have whole tanks and other vehicles abandoned with dry fuel tanks. So, a bit of both on plan and off plan. FTR, the better logs (I did a shit ton of logs in my infantry officer days) is a rolling refuel or a leapfrogging refuel. Remember the tanker’s mantra: Don’t stop! So, this next phase of the dumpster fire called (by some) the Ukraine-Russia War, is an encirclement of Kiev and then the investment of the city. I told you before that an attacker wants a 3:1 advantage in numbers of troops, but in urban warfare he needs 5:1. Recall how we approached Baghdad, in 2003, and the doctrinal estimates were that we could face a major battle with casualty rates we may not be mentally prepared to accept. Then came the Thunder Run9s) which were fast armored reconnaissance in force ops, and we essentially found the Iraqis (trained and armed by Russia) to be paper tigers when it comes to tank warfare. Never stop? Try digging your T-72s in up to the turret and using them as pillboxes. It ain’t effective, Haji. Will the Russians effectively ring Kiev? Will the Ukes make a stand there, or escape the sack with forces to fight on in the forested and mountainous West? Will Putin retain significant power long enough to topple Zelensky? In guilty fun, I am watching for the guys I am calling "The A-Team," who are a small band of US and Brit SF types fighting inside Ukraine under the banner of the Foreign Brigade. What would you do if you were them? You’d watch the other guy’s spec ops, and you’d physically go to every artillery unit in the Ukrainian army and get actual commanders’ cell phone numbers and radio freeks, and then be where the decision point of the battle is and rain hell on the lead tanks. Notice: columns destroyed littered up and down narrow roads. idk what will happen, but I do know how shit happens. The Russians are certainly in some danger of being defeated, but more likely they will simply fail to achieve war goals, and this will topple Putin or force him to revise his war aims. Or, they’ll win and topple the Ukraine govt. They won’t occupy as in old times, but hover off map and torment and bully. Next: the Baltics, Finland, etc. IOW, Putin wants political sway and enough swagger to advance his demands and desires in Europe. KCK February 25, 2022, 7:47 AM I’ma just bullet-point this war brief based on my interwebs watching this morning — spiced up with some army lingo and knowledge.
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| Posted by:746 |
| #4 I'ma == I am A common typo. Like teh for the. |
| Posted by: trailing wife 2022-03-04 16:10 |
| #3 You mean like this Texas lady? |
| Posted by: Captain Jeagum8732 2022-03-04 14:32 |
| #2 I'ma == I am It is kinda sorta (heh) a transliteration of colloquial speech. |
| Posted by: SteveS 2022-03-04 14:29 |
| #1 "I'ma" 🤔🤔🤔 ? Not in словарь |
| Posted by: Crereling Pherelet7963 2022-03-04 13:39 |