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| Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia |
| Nukes and Ukraine | Peter Zeihan |
| 2022-03-22 |
| [YouTube] Russian President Vladimir #Putin issued an early warning to foreign powers at the outset of his invasion of #ukraine Russia’s considerable #nuclear arsenal was ready to deliver a crushing blow against anyone who would meddle in Moscow’s attempt to bring Kyiv back into its sphere of influence. While not dismissive, US defense officials are not currently concerned that these threats are anything more than Russian bluster. The greater concern isn’t the strength of Russia’s nuclear arsenal, but rather Russian weakness. Russian conventional military has severely underperformed Western, and Russian, expectations. Russian national security prerogatives means Moscow needs to push west, into NATO territories, to secure land invasion routes into the Russian heartland. If Russia has had this much trouble fighting a conventional war with Ukraine, it has no hope of fighting a conventional (read: non nuclear) war against NATO. But that doesn’t mean that a conflict is off the table… |
| Posted by:DarthVader |
| #6 it has no hope of fighting a conventional (read: non nuclear) war against NATO No, the war with NATO will be nuclear only. I thought that was the point. |
| Posted by: Dron66046 2022-03-22 13:47 |
| #5 Dr. Strangelove: Of course, the whole point of a Doomsday Machine is lost, if you *keep* it a *secret*! Why didn't you tell the world, EH? Ambassador de Sadesky: It was to be announced at the Party Congress on Monday. As you know, the Premier loves surprises. Dr Strangelove. |
| Posted by: Chealing Chomotle4158 2022-03-22 13:44 |
| #4 I gamed this out when I was planning for a gaming campaign in northern Europe Eastern Europe may be the Gateway to Ukraine, but the madman can also coup some Chinese points by a hit on Pusan ROK which is a major US logistics port. That would be in 'defense' of Vladivostok, a warning to contested Japan and a heartfelt gesture to the Chinese pacific expansion program. |
| Posted by: Skidmark 2022-03-22 13:39 |
| #3 Been hearing Russia (Putin) might use a small tactical nuke to stir things up and scare the $%^& out the Western (DC) liberals. I heard that Putin had developed a Doomsday Weapon. The big announcement is planned for the annual May Day Parade. |
| Posted by: SteveS 2022-03-22 09:31 |
| #2 Soviets (Russians) most likely target for nukes would be sea ports. For all the bluster of being able to airlift troops in theater quickly, the US still needs ports to sustain their troops' operations. I gamed this out when I was planning for a gaming campaign in northern Europe (Schleswig Holstein area). When I mentioned the advantages of nuking sea ports, none of the officers (actual army officers) believed the Soviet would nuke western ports. I believed it like I believed Jesus is my Lord and Savior. YMMV. |
| Posted by: badanov 2022-03-22 08:07 |
| #1 Been hearing Russia (Putin) might use a small tactical nuke to stir things up and scare the $%^& out the Western (DC) liberals. With him (USSR) using it to negotiate better withdrawal terms and exit looking like a Winner/Champion. Checkout NUKEMAP and go play Putin and blow up a few Ukrainian cities |
| Posted by: NN2N1 2022-03-22 07:54 |