You have commented 339 times on Rantburg.

Your Name
Your e-mail (optional)
Website (optional)
My Original Nic        Pic-a-Nic        Sorry. Comments have been closed on this article.
Bold Italic Underline Strike Bullet Blockquote Small Big Link Squish Foto Photo
China-Japan-Koreas
Is China preparing to invade Taiwan? Beijing orders officials to find ways to protect the nation from western sanctions like those used against Russia
2022-05-03
[Daily Mail, where America gets its news]
Posted by:Skidmark

#12  I see Biden allowing the invasion of Taiwan. What is it a single American ship in the straight. I see Biden failing at nearly everything he and his administration tries. Make a fast buck and leave. Deplete national oil reserves and refill it with what and when. Sell it or give it away at discounts we will never see.
Posted by: Dale   2022-05-03 14:52  

#11  A future Taiwan government might beg for annexation.

Yeah, like Cuba and PR.
Posted by: Skidmark   2022-05-03 12:15  

#10  If China plays the long game then why invade at all? In 100, maybe 200 years things will look very different. A future Taiwan government might beg for annexation.
Posted by: Angstrom   2022-05-03 11:59  

#9  Of course they have "A Plan"....
*Cough* I mentally started snickering at the unintentional pun: PLAN (Peoples Liberation Army Navy)
... the Big Question is how many resources they have currently earmarked and how close to activating. The action to the second part is "More than they had last year..."

The thing is that Chinese Military Thought is big on long-term planning and only attacking if necessary -- as long as they plan on successfully corrupting Taiwan's leaders into a voluntary Anschluss an actual invasion will be a distant second choice. 'Why break your future property?'
Posted by: magpie   2022-05-03 10:57  

#8  China has a big damn upstream of a large chunk of their population. Its a big gamble to think Taiwan would go down without a scorched Earth attack on such a devastating target.
Posted by: ruprecht   2022-05-03 10:37  

#7  I would if I was China, even if an invasion of Taiwan is not in the cards. China is incredibly vulnerable to sanctions as they are a net exporter of low value goods and they import all the high value ones. On top of that they have the most vulnerable oil supply line in history. A fleet parked off the southern tip of India would cut their lifeline and in 10-12 months 500 million Chinese would be starving.
Posted by: DarthVader   2022-05-03 08:47  

#6  How Taipei discovered an active volcano on its doorstep
Posted by: Skidmark   2022-05-03 08:42  

#5  The problem Xi faces is not sanctions. The problem he faces is the same lying bureaucratic culture that Putin now shows the consequences of. When you failed to make a substantial impact upon the corruption and put 'Yes Men' in key positions, this is the result. The Shanghai "fire drill" situation is a Chinese reflection of the real problem that faces him if he chooses to invade.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2022-05-03 07:39  

#4  Taiwan has indicated there is a plan to blow the bleeding edge chip fabs if the PRC invades. If that occurs then the PRC then has the most advanced surviving chip fabs. They’d also have whatever wasn’t destroyed, access to the records/personnel associated with them. That suggests they could rebuild them faster than the US/EU/etc could build those fabs from scratch.
Posted by: Slenter Panda4300   2022-05-03 07:16  

#3  Nationalist Chinese leader Chiang Kai-shek possessed both a military intelligence and merchant, entrepreneurial mind. Having been defeated by the communists on the mainland in 1949. Chiang took the Nationalist gov't to the safe harbor of what is now Taiwan where it has survived and prospered for more than 70 years. Chiang's survival was made possible through assistance from the United States and to a lesser degree, other western nations. That assistance continued until the Chinese Communist bum licking Henry Kissenger (also a skilled military intelligence officer, entrepreneur, and statesman) undertook a policy of rapprochement to the Chinese communists by exploiting the lucrative manufacturing capabilities of the mainland. See Lowes, Target, Best Buy, Home Depot, and our tech giants for more current information.

As long as our box stores and tech community remain the financial engine of the Chinese communists, the US isolation and cold shoulder toward Taiwan (as directed by the communists) will continue.

A Chinese communist invasion of Taiwan or attack on the United States is most unlikely. Chiang Kai-shek used the Straights of Taiwan as his 'great wall' and it has worked splendidly. The money is simply not in an invasion. When dealing with the Beijing or Washington, always first think about the money.

To take it a step further, one of the reasons I feel Donald Trump was removed from office was his open challenge to Kissinger's Chinese communist rapprochement.

Posted by: Besoeker   2022-05-03 05:40  

#2  They play the long game. Russia was being watched closely. Plans already in place. I wonder what else this administration will give away.
Posted by: Dale   2022-05-03 04:07  

#1  How are they going to replace the chip fabs that will certainly be destroyed by in ChiCom invasion of Taiwan? Their economy will utterly collapse. Plus, it will be open season on Chinese naval vessels and logistics for western submarines and aircraft.

Hard to evade sanctions with your ports blocked. They must be betting on the "Silk Road" projects.
Posted by: Chealing Chomotle4158   2022-05-03 01:41  

00:00