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China-Japan-Koreas
Rep. McCaul: China's ‘Timetable' for Invading Taiwan Is Biden Being in Office, Invasion ‘Going to Happen Under President Biden's Watch'
2022-07-30
[Breitbart] On Friday’s broadcast of the Fox News Channel’s "America Reports," House Foreign Affairs Committee Ranking Member Rep. Michael McCaul (R-TX) argued that as long as President Joe Biden is in office and China sees "the weakness projected" by Biden, "that is their timetable" for an invasion of Taiwan, "just like Putin invading Ukraine." McCaul also stated that while China would like to take Taiwan without military conflict, "plan B is a military invasion and it’s going to happen under President Biden’s watch." And that China has studied Russia’s invasion of Ukraine "very closely."

McCaul said, [relevant remarks begin around 3:55] "[I]f you look at the map, they are circling the island right now. They’re being very military provocative. I think as long as Biden is in office and they see the weakness projected, that that is their timetable to invade, just like Putin invading Ukraine. And they’re looking at Ukraine very closely. Would they prefer to do it like Hong Kong without a shot fired or the Solomon Islands? Of course, right. Or maybe...they want to do it by overthrowing an election or by disinformation. But plan B is a military invasion and it’s going to happen under President Biden’s watch."
Posted by:Besoeker

#22  As much as I admire the might of the Ronald Reagan, it will need backup. 3 Carrier battle Groups for starters, will be impressive enough to cause the Chicoms to 2nd guess themselves! Shore up Guam, loiter a few B2s and be prepared to meet the 100 fighters Beijing will try to swarm The Speaker's plane with. My gut tells me she will back down if a bipartisan representation of the Congress do not accompany her.
Posted by: Waldemar Gromorong9327   2022-07-30 23:07  

#21  Check the Pelosi family stock trades; once they short the Chinese stock market we will know the invasion is on.
Posted by: Airandee   2022-07-30 18:47  

#20  ...Pelosi?
Posted by: Procopius2k   2022-07-30 17:02  

#19  Ask yourself. Why would Xi want to terminate a perfectly running Manchurian Candidate project?

The most counterintuitive theory I've heard lately.
Posted by: Besoeker   2022-07-30 15:49  

#18  I think the bluff about shooting down Pelosi's plane was a Bridge Too Far. It provoked a more unified and aggressive posture than perhaps intended. Still, all the resources and military assets that will be pushed forward with a view to look aggressive have the inherent potential to spark something unintended. The upwards escalation cascade is always a risk in military kabuki play acting.
Posted by: NoMoreBS   2022-07-30 14:54  

#17  We fight them man to man almost every week. We know what the chinks are capable of and what plays they don't have the balls for. What's more, we know their dependence on simulations to predict outcomes. And while the results of a Taiwan simulation were mostly successful, those were carried out before Ukraine. That in itself is a difference they are overlooking. The Chinese believe the whole Ukraine thing exhibits a general flaccidity in the west's force projection. And that may encourage them to a folly their future generations will regret.

A shanking, I repeat. While the globalists can't do jack about Vlad, the Chinese are one target they won't blink before going to town on. Propaganda, sanctions, a Tajik Taliban presence in Xinjiang, liberating islamics, multiple navies harassing Chink vessels... who will they nuke? And when? No, they'd just get raped.

Pelosi can go to Taiwan, she can squat and pee in the Chiang Kai-shek Memorial. Let China huff and puff. As long as the bitch doesn't say something which acknowledges the sovereignty of the PRC...!

Oh... why'd we not think of that? Shit. Because that'd be true Democrat bull in China shop stuff, no pun.
Posted by: Dron66046   2022-07-30 14:51  

#16  😁
Posted by: Dron66046   2022-07-30 14:31  

#15  ^ If the PLAN (see what I did there?) is to make Joe look good, just wait til he screws it up.
Posted by: M. Murcek   2022-07-30 13:49  

#14  Agree with DV and Dron. The Chinese would be at great risk of being humiliated, losing face if you will, if they attempted an invasion because of the logistics and the determination of the Taiwanese to resist.

My theory, and I could be wrong, is the Chinese are rattling their saber to give The Big Guy a chance to look like a tough guy by making them back down. I feel like I'm getting a whiff of kabuki designed to make the weakest US president ever look presidential. But, if my theory is correct, Joe has already committed to giving the Chinese something big in return.
Posted by: Abu Uluque   2022-07-30 13:24  

#13  The Chicoms have a tremendous investment in the dems being permanently in power. How will they show their displeasure if the dems can't deliver on that?
Posted by: M. Murcek   2022-07-30 13:08  

#12  #5 There will be no invasion.

What Dron said. Actual war war would disrupt the world economic flows that China depends on. Plus, all their neighbors would be happy to jump in.

As some dead Chinese guy said, "To subdue the enemy without fighting is the acme of skill".
Posted by: SteveS   2022-07-30 13:04  

#11  "And The President don't blink!"
Posted by: swksvolFF   2022-07-30 12:48  

#10  ...Chicom catering dems
Posted by: Procopius2k   2022-07-30 12:08  

#9  And October is out for now as it would be the wrong kind of "October surprise" for the Chicom catering dems.
Posted by: M. Murcek   2022-07-30 11:49  

#8   there are only two good months to invade. May and October.

Good to know.
Posted by: trailing wife   2022-07-30 11:44  

#7  ^ I'd buy a front row seat for that.
Posted by: M. Murcek   2022-07-30 10:52  

#6  And any defence of Taiwan may not be up to just Biden. The entire world secretly wants to chomp on China's ass after it destroyed their economies, dramatics at the UN be damned. They know it too.

After the helplessness felt by the west at seeing Vlad rain fire in Ukraine unchecked, everyone will watch these dwarves make a fool of themselves trying to intimidate Taiwan. The moment their bluff is called and you know their worth, everyone will join in. Like a prison shanking.
Posted by: Dron66046   2022-07-30 10:49  

#5  There will be no invasion. Biden, no... the US presidency and policy right now is such an unstable quantity, China's not doing anything except sitting and waiting.

Sorties and ships cruising around, posturing in the media, all that yes but no invasion. At least I don't think so.
Posted by: Dron66046   2022-07-30 10:42  

#4  But, but, but....it's Russian disimformation!
Posted by: DooDahMan   2022-07-30 09:29  

#3  ^^^ Yes, but they can release all the juicy information they want; but except for the New York Post, none of the media will cover it.
Posted by: Tom   2022-07-30 07:08  

#2  And the Chinese have Sleepy Joe by the short hairs. Surely they have lots of juicy--if not salacious--information. Surely Joe, Hunter, et al., would not want any more info "leaked" (not that we need any more, but still).
Posted by: DooDahMan   2022-07-30 03:24  

#1  Biggest weakness is their transport capability. They can only drop 30,000 men with no armor or supplies at a time. With both of the above, maybe 2,500 with 500 tanks. Against a country with 2 million armed and called up reserves.

This will need to be a D-Day type of invasion. There is 100 miles of water to cover and unlike the Europe invasion there are only two good months to invade. May and October. Otherwise they typhoons, rough seas, monsoons, fog, etc. make a military crossing under fire difficult to say the least.

The Chinese need to drop a quarter of a million men with thousands of tanks, IFVs and supplies in 30 days to make it work with any major chance of success. Not a chance in hell with what they have now.
Posted by: DarthVader   2022-07-30 01:00  

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