| Submit your comments on this article |
| Iraq |
| What's going on in Iraq |
| 2022-08-01 |
| Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin [ColonelCassad] Briefly for those who are interested in the question of what is happening in Iraq, why government buildings are constantly seized there and how this will affect the war in Ukraine. 1. Iraq in the current realities is a weak state on whose territory there is and will continue to be a proxy war between the US and Iran, as well as a permanent CTO against ISIS. 2. The current system of power in Iraq leaves no prospects for strengthening state power. The system of quotas for power based on national-religious grounds (as in Lebanon or Bosnia) under the conditions of Iraq gives rise to constant crises. 3. Muqtada As-Sadr is objectively the most popular political (and religious, after Al-Sistani) figure in Iraq, but not popular enough to claim full power through the current "democratic" procedures. 4. Al-Sadr shared political power with a pro-Iranian Shiite bloc for some time, but after the latter's relative failure in recent elections (which many consider rigged), he figured he could do without the Iranians, which forced another crisis to brew. 5. Al-Sadr himself cannot form a government, therefore, by manipulating the street, he is trying to impose on Iraq a candidate convenient for him, simultaneously launching slogans about a national revolution and the expulsion of Western and Eastern invaders, alluding to the United States and Iran, along the way trying to take away from Iran the agenda for the expulsion of American invaders from Iraq. 6. The problem is that this path, if Al-Sadr persists, will lead Iraq to civil war, as the pro-Iranian Shiites, Kurds and radial Sunnis will not accept the "Al-Sadr revolution". The US and Iran, of course, are also unlikely to seek to withdraw from Iraq. Plus, there are still numerous ISIS cells in Iraq that regularly attack the army and civilians. 7. At the same time, the problem of US and Israeli support for Kurdish separatism with attempts to separate Iraqi Kurdistan remains. In addition, a permanent Turkish NWO is being waged on the territory of Iraq against the PKK in Qandil and Sinjar, and the Turks do not want to leave northern Iraq. 8. The country itself is mired in poverty and corruption. Democracy has brought only pain and suffering to Iraq, which leads to regular protests against any government. Of course, the next turmoil in Iraq poses a threat to US plans to increase oil production in Iraq and release it to world markets to lower world prices to fight Russia. The stronger the crisis in Iraq, the more it will affect oil prices. A few days before the next occupation of government buildings, the government announced that it was going to increase oil exports by 2 million barrels a day. In May, Iraq exported 3.3 million barrels per day. However, the US may sacrifice these prospects for other benefits. A full-fledged civil war in Iraq could make it difficult for Iran to use the "Shiite bridge" (Iran-Iraq-Syria-Lebanon) and hit the Chinese projects of the One Belt - One Road initiative, as well as the interests of Rosneft and Lukoil. |
| Posted by:badanov |
| #2 Yes, the gift that..... well, you know. |
| Posted by: Besoeker 2022-08-01 08:44 |
| #1 More great results of the Boosh World Democracy Tourâ„¢ |
| Posted by: M. Murcek 2022-08-01 08:42 |