| #2 The Geography here does favor the Ukrainians because they can and have isolated the north bank. Russian Army smartly moved its primary HQ across to the south side. Pontoon bridges are no solution there, and they are using ferries to resupply forces N of the river, which isn't sustainable. This will be some nasty fighting, especially since it appears there are now partisans for the Ukr harassing and assisting in/near Kherson. If the Ukr were operationally adept at coordinating their artillery, infantry, and armor, they'd be able to make a break thru NE of Kerson and isolate/pocket a good chunk of those forces N of the river. But they aren't, so it will be a slugfest perimeter reduction. Lots of personnel and equipment loss for both sides, as well as the destruction of citizens and infrastructure. |