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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Ukrainian Perspective: Invasion of Ukraine: January 1st, 2023
2023-01-02
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Korrespondent] 23:33 Ukrainian and Russian telegram channels report that on the night of January 1, a blow was struck on the building of a vocational school in Makeevka, where there were about 600 Russian soldiers.

22:12 Zelensky, in an evening video message, said that the Russians were afraid: "Russian terrorists, as miserable as they were, have entered this year. Our sense of unity, authenticity, life itself - this is all in such contrast with the fear that reigned in Russia. They are afraid. You can feel it. And they are right to be afraid. Because they are losing. Drones, missiles, everything else will not help them. Because we are together. And they are perhaps together with fear."

21:01 As a result of enemy rocket attacks on December 31, the buildings of the Exhibition Campus of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv were significantly damaged, the Kyiv National University reported.

19:33 The enemy continues to attempt offensive operations in the Bakhmut and is trying to improve the tactical position of his troops in the Kupyansky, Limansky and Avdeevsky directions. In the Novopavlovsk and Zaporozhye directions, the enemy is defending itself, and in the Kherson direction, it is regrouping troops, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine said in an evening summary .

In the Kherson region, in order to destabilize the humanitarian situation and force the local population to “voluntary evacuation,” Oleshki, Golyaya Pristan, Plavni, as well as summer cottages between these settlements, are shelled from mortars. Mobilization measures continue in Crimea. The military commissariats have begun checking the lists of people who have not yet participated in a large-scale invasion of Ukraine and are subject to conscription for mobilization in 2023.

17:14 In 2022, 1,596 people were returned from enemy captivity, the Ministry of Reintegration reported. In particular, 1,464 servicemen and 132 civilians were released from captivity. The exchanges of prisoners were carried out by the joint efforts of the Office of the President, the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, the Security Service of Ukraine and the Ministry of Reintegration.

16:58 The war in Ukraine will not end soon, and the West must be ready for long-term support for Kiev, Stoltenberg said in an interview with the BBC: "We must be ready for a long journey, because, as you noticed, Russia does not intend to give up its main goal - establishing control over Ukraine".

The NATO Secretary General also urged not to be deceived by the success of the Ukrainian counter-offensives, as Russian troops are preparing to continue the war and for a possible attempt at a new offensive. "We must provide Ukraine with support. Including military support, because this is the only way to convince Russia to sit down at the negotiating table and recognize Ukraine as a sovereign, independent state in Europe," Stoltenberg said.

16:36 More than 20,000 servicemen of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have already been trained abroad, Oleksiy Gromov, deputy head of the Main Operational Directorate of the General Staff, said in an interview with Ukrinform. The training of the Ukrainian military is carried out in Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, as well as by US forces in Germany. In addition, with the help of partners, professional training of narrow specialists is carried out - sappers, combat medics, advanced aviation and artillery gunners, divers, reconnaissance officers, and sergeants. More than 10,000 people have undergone such training in European countries during the year.

15:11 At the beginning of 2023, Russia may change the tactics of operations at the front, Vadim Skibitsky, a spokesman for the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, said. According to him, the training of the mobilized is currently being completed, and soon the new forces will be ready for combat use.

"What do we expect? Firstly, this is the pulling up of the reserves of Russian troops to our borders. The introduction of new units into our territory and the introduction of part of the units of territorial troops. And we are already seeing this in the Kherson region. This is a continuation of offensive operations in certain areas and main targets "The goal of the enemy will still be the complete capture of the Donetsk region and the retention of the temporarily occupied territories, which are now under the control of the Russian Federation. And what we predict is a change in the tactics of Russia's actions on the battlefield," Skibitsky added.

14:47 The Armed Forces of Ukraine are actively advancing in the south and have already achieved certain results. There is positive news from the front, but so far they cannot be voiced, said Natalya Gumenyuk, speaker of OK Pivden. According to her, the work of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has already forced the invaders to redeploy.

14:25 On December 31, for the first time since the start of a full-scale invasion, Russians used rocket carriers in the Caspian Sea to attack Ukraine, Natalya Gumenyuk, speaker of OK Pivden, said. According to her, this indicates that it is increasingly difficult for the enemy to deliver their missiles to the Black Sea.

13:58 The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation said that yesterday's shelling of civilian infrastructure in Ukraine allegedly thwarted "Kyiv's plans to carry out terrorist attacks against Russia in the near future." According to the Russian Ministry of Defense, the strike was carried out "on the objects of the military-industrial complex of Ukraine involved in the manufacture of attack drones", and "storage sites and places for launching strike UAVs" were also allegedly hit.

13:15 DTEK reported that on December 31, a missile attack was carried out on one of the company's thermal power plants, the equipment of the enterprise was damaged.

12:07 In Kherson, as a result of night shelling, one person was killed, one was wounded. The buildings of the regional children's hospital were damaged, the President's Office reported.

11:39 Ukrainian air defense specialists perfectly mastered NASAMS air defense systems, which on the night of January 1 destroyed enemy drones, Air Force speaker Yuriy Ignat said: “Our military barely had time to reload NASAMS. , no one has: during the battle, reload the complex and destroy air targets. This suggests that we simply don’t have enough of them ... We have missiles, but we need more air defense systems themselves. "

11:31 Ukrenergo head Volodymyr Kudrytsky admits the possibility of a blackout in Ukraine as a result of Russian missile attacks, but assesses it as low: "I believe that we have already gone through the worst with these missile attacks, I really hope so. The dynamics of these attacks and the effect of attack shows that the Russians have less and less ability to damage our power grid."

11:28 In Khmelnitsky, one of the wounded during yesterday's rocket attack died, said the head of the OVA, Serhiy Gamaly.

11:13 On New Year's Eve, the energy system of Ukraine was already subjected to the 13th massive attack. Ukrenergo assured that power engineers are doing everything possible to ensure that the New Year holidays are with electricity without restrictions. Additional volumes of electricity for household consumers were provided due to the conscious behavior of Ukrainian business and restrictions on the work of the industry.

10:51 Russia's missile reserves are still left for two or three massive attacks on Ukraine, Budanov said: "They have already used fewer missiles than in previous waves. This means that they clearly understand that the numbers that I am now voicing to you are this is absolutely true. They need to reduce the number in order to maintain at least some imitation of the intensity of rocket attacks. "

According to Budanov, the invaders are constantly increasing the intervals between rocket attacks. Moreover, the enemy reduces the number of missiles in one volley. The head of the GUR also said that today the Russians have about 150 missiles left. "Under very favorable conditions, Russians can produce a total of up to 50 X-101 and Caliber missiles per month. That is, Russians need to work one and a half to two months for one missile attack on Ukraine," he added.

09:53 The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) believes that limited ammunition will partially prevent Russian troops from maintaining a high pace of operations in the Bakhmut area and in other areas in the short term. And reports that the Russians have already run out of ammunition in Belarus is another indicator that a resumption of a large-scale Russian offensive from Belarus is unlikely in the coming months, analysts say.

09:49 Since January 1, Sweden has assumed the position of the country-chairman of the Council of the EU. Among the priorities for this year in Stockholm were security, sustainable development, the transition to green energy, democratic values, as well as support for Ukraine. Sweden has pledged to prioritize economic and military assistance to Kyiv, as well as to support Ukraine on its way to the EU.

09:36 On December 31, the Russians attacked the residential sector of Nikolaev with six Iskander-type missiles, the head of the OVA, Vitaly Kim, said.

09:27 The enemy attacked the Kiev region with Iranian drones at night, aiming at energy infrastructure facilities. About 30 drones were launched across the region. There were no casualties, but there was damage to the infrastructure facility, said OVA head Aleksey Kuleba.

09:23 Andrey Nebytov, the head of the police of the Kiev region, showed a photo of the downed drone with "congratulations" from the Russians:

09:15 The General Staff announced the approximate losses of the enemy as of the morning of January 1. The enemy suffered the greatest losses in the Liman and Bakhmut directions.

  • personnel - about 106,720 (+760) people liquidated,

  • tanks - 3031 (+2),

  • armored fighting vehicles - 6084 (+9),

  • artillery systems - 2021 (+5),

  • MLRS - 423 (+0),

  • air defense systems - 213 (+0),

  • aircraft - 283 (+0),

  • helicopters - 269 (+0),

  • UAV operational-tactical level - 1792 (+46),

  • cruise missiles - 723 (+12),

  • ships/boats - 16 (+0),

  • automotive equipment and tankers - 4720 (+13),

  • special equipment - 181 (+1).

08:48 At night, Russians attacked Ukraine with Shahed-131/136 Iranian kamikaze drones. The air defense forces destroyed 45 strike UAVs, the command of the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported.

07:50 Over the past day, the enemy launched 31 missile and 12 air strikes and made more than 70 attacks from the MLRS. The civilian infrastructure of the Chernihiv, Sumy, Kiev, Khmelnytsky, Donetsk, Zaporozhye, Nikolaev and Kherson regions suffered, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine said in the morning summary . In addition, the enemy launched 13 Shahed-136 Iranian strike UAVs, all of which were destroyed.

Over the past day, the Defense Forces repelled the attacks of the invaders in the areas of the settlements of Stelmakhovka, Ploshchanka and Belogorivka of the Luhansk region and Soledar, Bakhmutskoye, Bakhmut, Ozaryanovka, Maryinka and Pobeda of the Donetsk region.

06:29 According to analysts at the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW), Putin's New Year's address, which he recorded surrounded by the military, indicates that the Russian president is not confident in his ability to shape the Russian information space and is still focused on justifying war and its cost to its people.

The ISW drew attention to the fact that the head of the Kremlin said not only that Russia has historical rights to Ukraine, but also that the independence and sovereignty of Russia depend on the restoration of control over Ukraine. By doing so, Putin is trying to make victory in the war necessary for the continued existence of Russia as an independent state.

04:32 During the night attack on Kiev, according to preliminary information, 32 enemy air targets were shot down, the KGVA reported. In the Dnieper region, fragments of a rocket fell on the roadway, no one was injured.

01:37 Klitschko reported explosions in Goloseevsky and Shevchenkovsky districts of the capital. In Shevchenkovsky, a fragment of a rocket fell on a car, there were no victims or injured.

00:58 As a result of an enemy strike on a critical infrastructure facility in Kherson, the city center, the KhBK microdistrict, Belozerka, Kamyshany and other villages were left without power, said the head of the OVA, Yaroslav Yanushevich.

00:06 Zelensky, in his New Year's greetings, wished victory to all Ukrainians: "And this is the main thing. One wish for all Ukrainians. Let this year be the year of return. Return of our people. Warriors to their families. Prisoners to their homes. IDPs to their "Ukraine. The return of our lands. And the temporarily occupied will become forever free. Return to ordinary life. To happy moments without a curfew. To earthly joys without air alarms. Return of what was stolen from us. The childhood of our children, the calm old age of our parents."

Posted by:badanov

#12  The dead/wounded ratio is known to the Russians by now. Anyone not pulled out of the rubble by now is gone.

Or were never there to begin with.
Posted by: badanov   2023-01-02 21:20  

#11  Russian milbloggers say ~600 men mobiks were in the building. Rybar says a regiment HQ was there. All of them are casualties. The dead/wounded ratio is known to the Russians by now. Anyone not pulled out of the rubble by now is gone.
Posted by: Waldemar the Limber5043   2023-01-02 16:57  

#10  Ukrainians generally overstate enemy casualties by about an order of magnitude.
Posted by: badanov   2023-01-02 16:12  

#9  Girkin on Makiivka incident - hundreds of victims, many still under the rubble. The building where they were housed also contained an ammunition cache and vehicle storage, which is why the strike was so deadly.

In addition, was it a division headquarters? Would explain the initial reports of high ranking officers.
Posted by: Waldemar the Limber5043   2023-01-02 14:38  

#8  Their morale was non existent to begin with. Every Russian soldier who sees another Russian soldier dead thinks "I want to go home." Every Ukrainian who sees his neighbors dead thinks "I am home. It's win or die."
Posted by: M. Murcek    2023-01-02 13:44  

#7  Dale, it is no longer 2022. The initiative is no longer with Russian forces. The 500-600 Russian casualty estimates are from Russian sources, either local or bloggers. Photos of half dressed Russian dead spilled out from trucks onto Makiivka roads are on the net. I won't post it here.

To give you an idea of the size of the blast, this woman from Makiivka thinks the MLRS blasts are fireworks. Then the stored ammo explodes.

Every last one (600-700 reported) in that campus building is either dead or wounded. The Russian government has already admitted 63 dead. The Ukrainian government claims 400 dead, 300 wounded.
Posted by: Waldemar the Limber5043   2023-01-02 13:36  

#6  Ukrainian army was busy during NYE. Not only intercepting Russian missiles and Iranian drones.

Sadove and Davydivka also hit. Over 50 servicemen are reportedly killed.

Also Svatove ammo warehouse hit. Great Potemkin island (on Dnipro river) taken. Airbases in Berdyansk and Voronezh (Russia) attacked.
Posted by: Waldemar the Limber5043   2023-01-02 13:22  

#5  Yeah, I know. You talked to a guy...
Posted by: Frank G   2023-01-02 07:10  

#4  Magic mushrooms for sure.
Posted by: Dale   2023-01-02 03:32  

#3  HIMARS attack on Pervomaisk city ~25km east of Bakhmut on PMC "Wagner" barracks with ~70 dead

Prigozhin is shown inspecting the damage. Russians claim it is a hospital but video shows rooms empty of any medical equipment. Looks like ex-hospital cleared out to make way for Wagner barracks/HQ.
Posted by: Waldemar the Limber5043   2023-01-02 02:16  

#2  Makiivka barracks. What's left.
Posted by: Waldemar the Limber5043   2023-01-02 02:01  

#1  News Year's bombardment of a Russian battalion barracks in Makiivka. Two large multi-story buildings at a vocational school obliterated. Russians were warehousing explosive ammo w/ the troops and it detonated.

Reports of ~500 of the 600+ troops killed
, including 3 high ranking officers. Trucks piled so high with bodies that bodies were falling of trucks and onto the streets.
Posted by: Waldemar the Limber5043   2023-01-02 01:56  

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