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Arabia
Outlines of peace in Yemen
2023-01-08
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin:

[ColonelCassad] The contours of peace in Yemen

Report https://t.me/parstodayrussian/119841 that Saudi Arabia, during behind-the-scenes negotiations with the Houthis, unofficially agreed to accept the demands of the Houthis, which actually fix the defeat of Saudi Arabia in the Yemeni war, which has been going on since March 2015 and is currently the 3rd longest and largest of the ongoing wars, after the war in Ukraine and the war in Syria.

The Houthis demand an end to the blockade of Yemen, compensation to civilians, non-interference in Yemeni affairs and free exit from Yemeni territory. The Saudis ask the Houthis for security guarantees related to the cessation of drone and ballistic missile attacks on Saudi Aramco infrastructure and airports, as well as the extension of the non-aggression agreement on tankers passing through the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden (Iran and Israel are waging a tanker war). On the other hand, these reports in the Arab media do not clarify the future of the "Hadi" government, which, after the agreements between Saudi Arabia and the UAE, was moved to Aden.

It is important to understand that the UAE has been playing its game in Yemen for a long time and their goals are fundamentally at odds with those of Saudi Arabia. The emirates, relying on the Southern Transitional Council, are striving for the annexation of the island of Socotra (from where the officials and military controlled by the Saudis were squeezed out), as well as the rejection of 4 southern provinces from Yemen, including Aden. Without a clear picture of a political settlement, it is too early to say that the war in Yemen is drawing to a close.

It is quite clear that if it ends on the terms of the Houthis, then it will be, first of all, an impressive victory for Iran, which the US and Israel cannot allow at all. Therefore, there are still many pitfalls on the path to peace in Yemen.

Posted by:badanov

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