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| New tactics of Russia, a serious strengthening of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the truth about the battles on the front line: |
| 2023-01-28 |
| Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. [KP] Voenkor Alexander Kots spoke about the new tactics of Russia, which made a breach in the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Role Played YouGov, a research center close to the British government, published a poll “What do you think about the fact that the UK could supply fighter jets to Ukraine?” Such a probing of public opinion. And, judging by the answers, the majority of the inhabitants of Foggy Albion do not see anything wrong with these deliveries: A quarter of the population does not care at all, 50 percent either support the transfer of aircraft to Kyiv or do not mind. We have been following the dramatic play “about the difficult relations between the USA and Germany” all last week. They depicted the battle of the titans: "You first, let's go tanks!" - "No you!". In fact, this is a homemade piece, played out for a large audience. Everything was predetermined from the beginning. And all these deliveries are formed according to the offensive plan in the spring-summer Ukrainian campaign. It is compiled, of course, not in Kyiv. What will change at the front In my opinion, in the line of deliveries of Western equipment to Ukraine, it is not tanks that should be more alarming, but the amount of artillery. This is a whole artillery corps - three brigades: - Self-propelled installations "Paladin" - an excellent weapon, - "Archer" is a little worse, but also serious, - AS-30, "Caesar", which has already proven itself in battles. Tanks probably add spice to all these deliveries. What is known at this moment? It's absolutely right now: - The United States will supply 31 Abrams to Ukraine, - Germany promises 14 Leopards. - Great Britain - 14 "Challenger-2" - Poland says it wants to supply 14 Leopards. Has not yet decided when to send, Portugal - four units, the Netherlands some amount, Norway - up to eight, Finland, Denmark. It was announced that the first batch of "Leopards" will come to Ukraine in three months. But most likely these terms will be reduced. Such an international, which is going to squeeze a tank fist in the area of the line of contact. Dependence on the west Let's proceed from the fact that we knocked out all Soviet equipment from Ukraine. She is experiencing shell hunger. We solve these problems through our military industry. But Kyiv does not have such an opportunity, so they are forced to switch to the "donations" of the West. But dependence on a NATO manufacturer may at some point be fatal. Nevertheless, the scale of deliveries cannot but strain. What to do with them? The simplest answer is to strike even behind enemy lines until they crossed the Dnieper, and cut down the bridges connecting the two banks. But, as the last 11 months have shown, the enemy is not experiencing any particular logistical problems as a result of our strikes. Yes, and all recent deliveries are more or less secretive by civilian transport, trucks. What should be done to bring down these bridges? This can be done, for example, by strategic aviation. What needs to be done for strategic aviation to work over Ukraine? It is necessary to suppress air defense systems. Save the gunners But you need to calculate the option that they will still reach the line of contact. And how we will meet them there is also very important. In the Persian Gulf during the 1990-1991 war, 23 Abrams were destroyed. During the first two years of the Iraqi war of 2003-2011, more than 100 vehicles were disabled. The Houthis destroyed about 45 Abrams from the Saudis. The Abrams are not some wunderwaffe that will provide Ukraine with a bloodless advance through the territories controlled by the Russian army. But it is also impossible to treat these deliveries condescendingly. It's still a serious, high-tech weapon. Sooner or later we will have to face them. As with a huge amount of new artillery. And this means that we need to improve counterbattery combat in two months. This is, of course, a difficult task. It is impossible to transfer already trained artillerymen and anti-tank divisions to the infantry. After all, it is they who will have to burn American, British, German and other equipment in 2-3 months. And we will simply have nowhere to take them from. Replacements worked We have now imposed our initiative on the enemy. We have several points at once where he feels completely uncomfortable. Firstly, this is Zaporozhye. There are interesting events going on right now in the Orekhovo region. The enemy is forced to transfer reserves there, including, by the way, from the Donetsk direction. And at this time, taking advantage of this, an offensive is underway in the south-Donetsk direction - Ugledar. We have already caught on to the first houses, almost all the roads to supply it have been cut. Of the relatively safe ones, only one remained - the track to Kurakhovo. But it is also under the fire control of our artillerymen, because we control most of the Maryinka and from there we see the supply routes. An operation is underway to capture Artemovsk, the enemy's largest defense center. To the north of it, fighting is going on in the direction of Seversk. The Ukrainian troops do not have the opportunity to concentrate large forces in any one direction. They are forced to send quick reaction forces here and there. This is probably the same preparation for which castling was carried out in the command of the special military operation. I think that it was the former commander Sergei Surovikin who carried out the preparatory measures, after which he handed over the reins of government to the Chief of the General Staff Gerasimov, who is now responsible for everything - both successes and defeats, if any. But perhaps this is the very expansion of the format of the special operation, along with the supply of tanks, which the Ministry of Defense told us about when it explained the reshuffle in command. Progressive Promotion Yes, in the course of this conflict, problems in our military machine were also revealed. But it's good that we know about them now. Someone says that "probably the Supreme Commander does not have the whole picture." Yes, and I know it for sure. People who are not young, but who have been living in our country for a long time, know perfectly well that it is useless to expect sharp personnel decisions from Putin. And in general the expected decisions. Someone may and would like flying heads and torn shoulder straps. But this is not the manner of our president. We have a list of what is missing. Understanding where what is needed - too. It is necessary to see how the industry and the leadership of the Ministry of Defense will cope with this. |
| Posted by:badanov |