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Africa Horn |
Persistent Insecurity in Southern Sudan: A 12 Month Outlook |
2023-01-30 |
[GreyDynamics] Since the achievement of independence in 2011, South Sudan has been experiencing persistent insecurity. The civil war erupted in 2013 between the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement (SPLM) and the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement-in-opposition (SPLM-IO). Despite the Agreement on the Resolution of the Conflict in the Republic of South Sudan in 2015 and its revitalisation (R-ARCRSS) in 2018, violence remains endemic. Additionally, the National Security Service systematically violates civil liberties and political rights. As the 2024 elections approach, the tensions between SPLM and SPLM-IO and civil society’s repression will likely rise. Splitters! Key Judgement 1: Despite the 2018 renewed peace agreement between SPLM and SPLM-IO, violence will highly likely remain endemic in South Sudan over the next 12 months. In particular, communal confrontations are a major insecurity factor.
Key Judgement 3: As the 2024 elections approach, South Sudan’s internal political situation will likely worsen over the next 12 months. The National Security Service arbitrarily represses dissent. |
Posted by:Griter Slash1619 |
#1 South Sudan should be divided in three. The Dinka to the west, the Nuer/Shilluk to the east, and the Equatorial tribes that want nothing to do with either, in the south. The present situation will only lead to more bloodshed. The problem is that the AU wants no subdivision of nations, as that would lead to a cascade of changes in Africa. |
Posted by: Slavising Unineting5672 2023-01-30 07:23 |