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-Great Cultural Revolution
America Seems to Go Crazy Every 50 Years or So
2023-03-28
[Townhall] Start with the War of 1812, about 50 years after colonies' Stamp Act protests. There's a touch of absurdity here. Because of the slowness of trans-Atlantic communication, Congress declared war because of British restrictions on neutral shipping six days after the British repealed them. Americans won their major land victory in New Orleans, 15 days after the peace treaty had already been signed in Ghent.

The Americans' strategy was based on a delusion -- that Canadians would welcome American conquest -- and American tactics were riddled with blunders. Detroit was surrendered without a shot, and Washington was left undefended, allowing the British to burn the White House. The treaty left in place the status quo, and the positive response was psychological, verging on delusional. In historian Gordon Wood's words, this inconclusive war "did finally establish for Americans that independence and nationhood of the United States that so many had doubted."

Almost exactly 50 years later, the U.S. plunged into civil war, which outgoing President James Buchanan might have prevented by sending troops to secessionist South Carolina, as his mentor Andrew Jackson had done almost 30 years earlier.

Fast forward 50 years to the only American president who spent his boyhood in the Confederacy, watching Sherman march into South Carolina, Woodrow Wilson. After Congress, with 56 dissenters, voted to enter World War I, Wilson superintended the overbroad 1917 Espionage Act. As Adam Hochschild vividly recounts in "American Midnight", the Wilson administration imprisoned those who spoke against the war or the draft, including Socialist presidential candidate Eugene Debs. Wilson deported aliens supposedly involved in radical activities under the supervision of the 20-something J. Edgar Hoover. He censored the press, stamping out what liberals today call "misinformation," and cooperated with local efforts to suppress German cultural organizations.
History does rhyme, about every 50 years - a typical adult's lifetime. Interesting coincidence. Go read the rest.
Posted by:Bobby

#8  About on schedule, mosomo; I read ‘Generations’ back in1991, Anomalous, haven’t read ‘Fourth Turning,’ though my wife bought it.
Posted by: Glenmore    2023-03-28 18:09  

#7  Wave Theory

Grand Supercycle > Supercycle > Cycle

Elliott Wave Theory holds that each wave within a wave count contains a complete 5-3 wave count of a smaller cycle.

Mr Howe wrote, “turning” is about 20 years long, what the authors call the length of a generation [generational wave].

These four turnings are akin to the four seasons in nature, beginning with spring and ending with winter. These turnings then continue to repeat just like nature.

“The cycle begins with the First Turning, a “High” which comes after a crisis era.

“The Second Turning is an “Awakening,” when institutions are attacked in the name of higher principles and deeper values.”

“The Third Turning is an “Unraveling,” in many ways the opposite of the High.”

“Finally, the Fourth Turning is a “Crisis” period. This is when our institutional life is reconstructed from the ground up, always in response to a perceived threat to the nation’s very survival.”

Authors have stated America entered a new Fourth Turning in 2008. In their book published in 1997, they pegged the next crisis would in 2005. Three shy of the 2008 bubble. They conclude this turning will likely last until around 2030."

Previous Anglo-American Fourth Turnings:
- American Revolution (1773-1794)
- Civil War (1860-1865)
- Great Depression/World War II (1929-1946)
Posted by: mossomo   2023-03-28 16:10  

#6  re: #5:

Posted by: Anomalous Sources   2023-03-28 15:39  

#5  Two generations. Look at Strauss and Howe generational theory. One more brick in the wall…
Posted by: Glenmore    2023-03-28 15:35  

#4  Seems?

America is plain fucking nuts right now.
Posted by: DarthVader   2023-03-28 11:37  

#3  Interestingly appropriate.
Posted by: Skidmark   2023-03-28 08:42  

#2  Real history is a problem for many who cite it. One of the major issues of the War of 1812 was the use of the British of the native tribes in America to forestall the development of the Northwest Territories. They had been using the natives for decades as proxies. When American forces finally broke one major effort at the battle of Fallen Timbers they chased the natives to the gates of a British military fort on American soil. Newspapers in that part of the country referred to the situation as the Anglo-Indian War. No, the war did not end in the status quo as the native resistance had been effectively destroyed allowing for the settlement of Ohio, Indiana, Michigan, Illinois and Wisconsin.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2023-03-28 08:29  

#1  Sure, sex/drugs/rock-n-roll/love in the '70s.
Woke/Trans/Migrants/Murder in the '20s.

Seems to fit.
Posted by: Skidmark   2023-03-28 06:56  

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